Let x = age in years of a rural Quebec woman at the time of her first marriage. In the year 1941, the population variance of x was approximately σ2 = 5.1. Suppose a recent study of age at first marriage for a random sample of 41 women in rural Quebec gave a sample variance s2 = 2.8. Use a 5% level of significance to test the claim that the current variance is less than 5.1. (a) State the null and alternate hypotheses. H0: σ2 = 5.1; H1: σ2 > 5.1 H0: σ2 < 5.1; H1: σ2 = 5.1     H0: σ2 = 5.1; H1: σ2 ≠ 5.1 H0: σ2 = 5.1; H1: σ2 < 5.1 (b) Find the value of the chi-square statistic for the sample. (Round your answer to two decimal places.) (c) What assumptions are you making about the original distribution? We assume a normal population distribution. We assume a binomial population distribution.     We assume a exponential population distribution. We assume a uniform population distribution.

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Let x = age in years of a rural Quebec woman at the time of her first marriage. In the year 1941, the population variance of x was approximately σ2 = 5.1. Suppose a recent study of age at first marriage for a random sample of 41 women in rural Quebec gave a sample variance s2 = 2.8. Use a 5% level of significance to test the claim that the current variance is less than 5.1.

(a) State the null and alternate hypotheses.

H0: σ2 = 5.1; H1: σ2 > 5.1
H0: σ2 < 5.1; H1: σ2 = 5.1    
H0: σ2 = 5.1; H1: σ2 ≠ 5.1
H0: σ2 = 5.1; H1: σ2 < 5.1

(b) Find the value of the chi-square statistic for the sample. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)

(c) What assumptions are you making about the original distribution?
We assume a normal population distribution.
We assume a binomial population distribution.    
We assume a exponential population distribution.
We assume a uniform population distribution.

(d) Find or estimate the P-value of the sample test statistic.
P-value > 0.100
0.050 < P-value < 0.100    
0.025 < P-value < 0.050
0.010 < P-value < 0.025
0.005 < P-value < 0.010
P-value < 0.005

(e) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis?
Since the P-value > α, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.
Since the P-value > α, we reject the null hypothesis.    
Since the P-value ≤ α, we reject the null hypothesis.
Since the P-value ≤ α, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

(f) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application.
At the 5% level of significance, there is insufficient evidence to conclude that the variance of age at first marriage is less than 5.1.
At the 5% level of significance, there is sufficient evidence to conclude that the variance of age at first marriage is less than 5.1.    
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