It is estimated that approximately 8.12% Americans are afflicted with diabetes. Suppose that a certain diagnostic evaluation for diabetes will correctly diagnose 94.5% of all adults over 40 with diabetes as having the disease and incorrectly diagnoses 2.5% of all adults over 40 without diabetes as having the disease.     a) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult over 40 does not have diabetes, and is diagnosed as having diabetes (such diagnoses are called "false positives").     b) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult of 40 is diagnosed as not having diabetes.     c) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult over 40 actually has diabetes, given that he/she is diagnosed as not having diabetes (such diagnoses are called "false negatives").

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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It is estimated that approximately 8.12% Americans are afflicted with diabetes. Suppose that a certain diagnostic evaluation for diabetes will correctly diagnose 94.5% of all adults over 40 with diabetes as having the disease and incorrectly diagnoses 2.5% of all adults over 40 without diabetes as having the disease.
    a) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult over 40 does not have diabetes, and is diagnosed as having diabetes (such diagnoses are called "false positives").

    b) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult of 40 is diagnosed as not having diabetes.

    c) Find the probability that a randomly selected adult over 40 actually has diabetes, given that he/she is diagnosed as not having diabetes (such diagnoses are called "false negatives").

(Note: it will be helpful to first draw an appropriate tree diagram modeling the situation)

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