It is estimated that 1% of the population has a certain genetic defect. A medical test is used to determine if people have this defect and, if a person has this defect, the test will correctly indicate this with probability 90%. However, if a person does not have this defect, the test will still indicate that he or she has the defect with probability 9.6%. If a person tests positive for this defect, what is the probability that the person actually has the defect? Express your answer, rounded to three decimal places, if necessary.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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It is estimated that 1% of the population has a certain genetic defect. A medical test is used to determine if people have this defect and, if
a person has this defect, the test will correctly indicate this with probability 90%. However, if a person does not have this defect, the test
will still indicate that he or she has the defect with probability 9.6%. If a person tests positive for this defect, what is the probability that
the person actually has the defect? Express your answer, rounded to three decimal places, if necessary.
Transcribed Image Text:It is estimated that 1% of the population has a certain genetic defect. A medical test is used to determine if people have this defect and, if a person has this defect, the test will correctly indicate this with probability 90%. However, if a person does not have this defect, the test will still indicate that he or she has the defect with probability 9.6%. If a person tests positive for this defect, what is the probability that the person actually has the defect? Express your answer, rounded to three decimal places, if necessary.
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