Investment Timing Option: Option AnalysisThe Karns Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract of land that the company owns. The company estimates the project would cost $8 milliontoday. Karns estimates that, once drilled, the oil will generate positive net cash flows of $4 million a year at the end of each of the next 4 years. Although thecompany is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, in 2 years it will have more information about the local geology and about the price of oil. Karnsestimates that if it waits 2 years then the project would cost $9 million. Moreover, if it waits 2 years, then there is a 90% chance that the net cash flows wouldbe $4.2 million a year for 4 years and a 10% chance that they would be $2.2 million a year for 4 years. Assume all cash flows are discounted at 10%. Use theBlack-Scholes model to estimate the value of the option. Assume the variance of the project's rate of return is 0.754 and that the risk-free rate is 6%. Do notround intermediate calculations. Enter your answer in millions. For example, an answer of $1.234 million should be entered as 1.234, not 1,234,000. Roundyour answer to three decimal places.$million

We need to calculate the value of the option using the Black-Scholes model. The Black-Scholes model…

Answered: Investment Timing Option: Option…

Managerial Accounting

15th Edition

ISBN:9781337912020

Author:Carl Warren, Ph.d. Cma William B. Tayler

Publisher:Carl Warren, Ph.d. Cma William B. Tayler

Chapter12: Capital Investment Analysis

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 3CMA

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Redbird Company is considering a project with an initial investment of $265,000 in new equipment that will yield annual net cash flows of $45,800 each year over its seven-year life. The companys minimum required rate of return is 8%. What is the internal rate of return? Should Redbird accept the project based on IRR?
Investment Timing Option: Option Analysis The Karns Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract of land that the company owns. The company estimates the project would cost $8 million today. Karns estimates that, once drilled, the oil will generate positive net cash flows of $4 million a year at the end of each of the next 4 years. Although the company is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, in 2 years it will have more information about the local geology and about the price of oil. Karns estimates that if it waits 2 years then the project would cost $9 million. Moreover, if it waits 2 years, then there is a 90% chance that the net cash flows would be $4.2 million a year for 4 years and a 10% chance that they would be $2.2 million a year for 4 years. Assume all cash flows are discounted at 10% . Use the Black - Scholes model to estimate the value of the option. Assume the variance of the project's rate of return is 0.632 and that the risk - free rate is 6%. Do…
Investment Timing Option: Option Analysis The Karns Oil Company is deciding whether to dnil for oil on a tract of land that the compamy owns. The company estimates the project would cost \$8 million today, Karns estimates that, once drilled, the oil will generate positive net cash flows of$4million a year at the end of each of the next 4 years. Although the company is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, in 2 years it will have more information about the local geology and obout the price of oil. Karns estimates that if it waits 2 years then the project would cost$9million. Moreover, if it waits 2 years, then there is a90%chance that the net cash flows would be$4.2millian a year for 4 vears and a10%chance that they would be$2.2million a year for 4 years. Assume all cash flows are discounted at10%. Use the Black-Schoies model to estimate the value of the option. Assume the vanance of the projectis rate of retiurn is 0.632 and that the nsk free rate is6%. Do not round…
Real Options: Quantitative problems Part 1: Florida Seaside Oil Exploration Company is deciding whether to drill for oil off the northeast coast of Florida. The company estimates that the project would cost $4.7 million today. The firm estimates that once drilled, the oil will generate positive cash flows of $2.35 million a year at the end of each of the next four years. While the company is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, it recognizes that if it waits two years, it would have more information about the local geology as well as the price of oil. Florida Seaside estimates that if it waits two years, the project would cost $5.23 million. Moreover, if it waits two years, there is a 85% chance that the cash flows would be $2.436 million a year for four years, and there is a 15% chance that the cash flows will be $1.819 million a year for four years. Assume that all cash flows are discounted at a 8% WACC. If the company chooses to drill today, what is the project’s net…
The Engler Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oilon a tract of land that the company owns. The company estimates that the project will cost$9 million today. Engler estimates that once drilled, the oil will generate positive cash flowsof $4.3 million a year at the end of each of the next 4 years. Although the company is fairlyconfident about its cash flow forecast, it recognizes that if it waits 2 years, it will have moreinformation about the local geology as well as the price of oil. Engler estimates that if itwaits 2 years, the project will cost $12 million, and cash flows will continue for 4 years afterthe initial investment is made. Moreover, if it waits 2 years, there is a 95% chance that thecash flows will be $4.4 million a year for 4 years, and there is a 5% chance that the cash flowswill be $2.4 million a year for 4 years. Assume that all cash flows are discounted at 11%.a. If the company chooses to drill today, what is the project’s expected net present value?b. Would…
The Karns Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract of land that the company owns. The company estimates the project would cost $8 million today. Karns estimates that, once drilled, the oil will generate positive net cash flows of $4 million a year at the end of each of the next 4 years. Although the company is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, in 2 years it will have more information about the local geology and about the price of oil. Karns estimates that if it waits 2 years then the project would cost $9 million. Moreover, if it waits 2 years, then there is a 90% chance that the net cash flows would be $4.2 million a year for 4 years and a 10% chance that they would be $2.2 million a year for 4 years. Assume all cash flows are discounted at 10%. Use the Black-Scholes model to estimate the value of the option. Assume the variance of the project's rate of return is 0.632 and that the risk-free rate is 5%. Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your…
Investment Timing Option: Option Analysis Kim Hotels is interested in developing a new hotel in Seoul. The company estimates that the hotel would require an initial investment of $20 million. Kim expects the hotel will produce positive cash flows of $3 million a year at the end of each of the next 20 years. The project's cost of capital is 13%. Kim expects the cash flows to be $3 million a year, but it recognizes that the cash flows could actually be much higher or lower, depending on whether the Korean government imposes a large hotel tax. One year from now, Kim will know whether the tax will be imposed. There is a 50% chance that the tax will be imposed, in which case the yearly cash flows will be only $2.2 million. At the same time, there is a 50% chance that the tax will not be imposed, in which case the yearly cash flows will be $3.8 million. Kim is deciding whether to proceed with the hotel today or to wait a year to find out whether the tax will be imposed. If Kim waits a year,…
The Karns Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract of land that the company owns. The company estimates the project would cost $4 million today. Karns estimates that, once drilled, the oil will generate positive net cash flows of $2 million a year at the end of each of the next 4 years. Although the company is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, in 2 years it will have more information about the local geology and about the price of oil. Karns estimates that if it waits 2 years then the project would cost $5 million. Moreover, if it waits 2 years, then there is a 90% chance that the net cash flows would be $2.1 million a year for 4 years and a 10% chance that they would be $1.1 million a year for 4 years. Assume all cash flows are discounted at 8%. If the company chooses to drill today, what is the project's net present value? Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer in millions. For example, an answer of $1.23 million should be entered…
Investment Timing Option: Option Analysis Activity Frame Kim Hotels is interested in developing a new hotel in Seoul. The company estimates that the hotel would require an initial investment of $20 million. Kim expects the hotel will produce positive cash flows of $3 million a year at the end of each of the next 20 years. The project's cost of capital is 13%. Kim expects the cash flows to be $3 million a year, but it recognizes that the cash flows could actually be much higher or lower, depending on whether the Korean government imposes a large hotel tax. One year from now, Kim will know whether the tax will be imposed. There is a 50% chance that the tax will be imposed, in which case the yearly cash flows will be only $2.2 million. At the same time, there is a 50% chance that the tax will not be imposed, in which case the yearly cash flows will be $3.8 million. Kim is deciding whether to proceed with the hotel today or to wait a year to find out whether the tax will be imposed. If Kim…
Investment Timing Option: Decision-Tree Analysis Kim Hotels is interested in developing a new hotel in Seoul. The company estimates that the hotel would require an initial investment of $22 million. Kim expects the hotel will produce positive cash flows of $3 million a year at the end of each of the next 20 years. The project's cost of capital is 12%. a. What is the project's net present value? Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer in millions. For example, an answer of $1.23 million should be entered as 1.23, not 1,230,000. Round your answer to two decimal places. $ milion b. Kim expects the cash flows to be $3 million a year, but it recognizes that the cash flows could actually be much higher or lower, depending on whether the Korean government imposes a large hotel tax. One year from now, Kim will know whether the tax will be imposed. There is a 50% chance that the tax will be imposed, in which case the yearly cash flows will be only $2.2 million. At the same…
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Lane Company is considering purchasing a capital investment that is expected to provide annual cash inflows of $10,600 per year for 3 years. Assuming that the required rate of return is 9%, what is the present value of these cash inflows? (Do not round PV factors and intermediate calculations. Round your final answer to the nearest dollar.) Multiple Choice $26,765 $29,174 $24,555 $26,832

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