Interpret the MAD of the most accurate among the forecasting models below. A. Naïve approach; B. 5-month SMA model; C. WMA model with weights 0.1, 0.3, and 0.6; or D. ES model with α = 0.5 and a forecast of 3,500 liters in the first month.
Interpret the MAD of the most accurate among the forecasting models below. A. Naïve approach; B. 5-month SMA model; C. WMA model with weights 0.1, 0.3, and 0.6; or D. ES model with α = 0.5 and a forecast of 3,500 liters in the first month.
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
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Question
Interpret the MAD of the most accurate among the
A. Naïve approach;
B. 5-month SMA model;
C. WMA model with weights 0.1, 0.3, and 0.6; or
D. ES model with α = 0.5 and a forecast of 3,500 liters in the first month.

Transcribed Image Text:Actual
100 liters
Demand
NA
SMA
WMA
ES
Month
100 liters
F
|A – F|
F
|A – F|
F
|A – F|
F
|A – F|
1
39
47
39
4
44
49
6.
48
7
45
8
56
9
53
10
61
11
MAD
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