In the setup of an assembly line the system is either correctly or incorrectly adjusted. The probability of a correct adjustment is 0.90. When correctly adjusted, the system operates with a 5% defective rate. However, if incorrectly adjusted, it has a 75% defective rate. Assume that defects occur independently of each other. (1) Complete the tree diagram by filling in the relevant probabilities and conditional probabilites, where C represents the event that the system is correctly adjusted, and D represents the event that the next produced item is defective (2)After the system starts a production run, what is the probability that a defect is observed? (3) Suppose that one item selected by an inspector is found to be defective. What is the probability that the system is incorrectly adjusted?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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In the setup of an assembly line the system is either correctly or incorrectly adjusted. The probability of a correct adjustment is 0.90. When correctly adjusted, the system operates with a 5% defective rate. However, if incorrectly adjusted, it has a 75% defective rate. Assume that defects occur independently of each other.
(1) Complete the tree diagram by filling in the relevant probabilities and conditional probabilites, where C represents the event that the system is correctly adjusted, and D represents the event that the next produced item is defective
(2)After the system starts a production run, what is the probability that a defect is observed?
(3) Suppose that one item selected by an inspector is found to be defective. What is the probability that the system is incorrectly adjusted?

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