In the following profit payoff table for a decis problem with two states of nature and three alternatives, the prior probabilities for s1 and P(81) = .8 and P(82) = .2. Excel File: data20-15.xls State of Nature Decision Alternative $2 d, dz dz 15 10 12 20 10 a. What is the optimal decision? - Select your answer - b. Find the EVPI. c. Suppose that sample information I is obta with P(I|81) = .20 and P(I|82) = .75. Find the posterior probabilities P(81|1) and P(s; decimals). P(81|I) = P(82\I) =

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In the following profit payoff table for a decis
problem with two states of nature and three
alternatives, the prior probabilities for s1 and
P(81) = .8 and P(82) = .2.
Excel File: data20-15.xls
State of Nature
Decision Alternative
$2
d,
dz
dz
15
10
12
20
10
a. What is the optimal decision?
- Select your answer -
b. Find the EVPI.
c. Suppose that sample information I is obta
with P(I|81) = .20 and P(I|82) = .75.
Find the posterior probabilities P(81|1) and P(s;
decimals).
P(81|I) =
P(82\I) =
Transcribed Image Text:In the following profit payoff table for a decis problem with two states of nature and three alternatives, the prior probabilities for s1 and P(81) = .8 and P(82) = .2. Excel File: data20-15.xls State of Nature Decision Alternative $2 d, dz dz 15 10 12 20 10 a. What is the optimal decision? - Select your answer - b. Find the EVPI. c. Suppose that sample information I is obta with P(I|81) = .20 and P(I|82) = .75. Find the posterior probabilities P(81|1) and P(s; decimals). P(81|I) = P(82\I) =
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