In Guilford County North Carolina, all voters are either Republicans or Democrats. 39 percent of the voter population are Republicans. Construct a probability distribution for a sample of 12 Guilford County voters: Use the BINOM. DIST function in Excel to calculate the following probabilites below: n = N(Republicans) Probability 1 2 3 4 7 8 9. 10 11 12 0.000000|<<<<<<<<< Sum the probability in the blue box What should it sum up to?

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**Constructing a Probability Distribution for Voter Demographics in Guilford County, North Carolina**

In Guilford County, North Carolina, all voters are either Republicans or Democrats. Based on current data, 39 percent of the voter population are Republicans.

### Task:
Construct a probability distribution for a sample of 12 Guilford County voters. To achieve this, we will use the `BINOM.DIST` function in Excel to calculate the following probabilities:

#### Parameters:
- **n**: Sample size (number of voters) = 12
- **p**: Probability of selecting a Republican voter = 0.39

### Table Outline:

| N(Republicans) | Probability |
| -------------- | ----------- |
| 0              |             |
| 1              |             |
| 2              |             |
| 3              |             |
| 4              |             |
| 5              |             |
| 6              |             |
| 7              |             |
| 8              |             |
| 9              |             |
| 10             |             |
| 11             |             |
| 12             |             |

#### Instructions:
1. Use the `BINOM.DIST` function in Excel to fill in the "Probability" column.
2. Calculate the sum of these probabilities to ensure they add up to 1.000000 (within rounding tolerance).

##### Example of Syntax in Excel:
To calculate the probability of exactly 0 Republicans in the sample:
```excel
=BINOM.DIST(0, 12, 0.39, FALSE)
```

### Additional Questions:

a) What is the probability that four or fewer are Republicans?
- This can be computed by summing the probabilities of 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 Republicans in the sample. Use the `BINOM.DIST` function with the cumulative option:
```excel
=BINOM.DIST(4, 12, 0.39, TRUE)
```

Sum the probability values in the column to complete this table and ensure accuracy.

### Diagram:
There is a table structure provided for inputting values, but no specific graphs or charts. Users should ensure their table's probabilities sum correctly to validate their distribution calculation.
Transcribed Image Text:**Constructing a Probability Distribution for Voter Demographics in Guilford County, North Carolina** In Guilford County, North Carolina, all voters are either Republicans or Democrats. Based on current data, 39 percent of the voter population are Republicans. ### Task: Construct a probability distribution for a sample of 12 Guilford County voters. To achieve this, we will use the `BINOM.DIST` function in Excel to calculate the following probabilities: #### Parameters: - **n**: Sample size (number of voters) = 12 - **p**: Probability of selecting a Republican voter = 0.39 ### Table Outline: | N(Republicans) | Probability | | -------------- | ----------- | | 0 | | | 1 | | | 2 | | | 3 | | | 4 | | | 5 | | | 6 | | | 7 | | | 8 | | | 9 | | | 10 | | | 11 | | | 12 | | #### Instructions: 1. Use the `BINOM.DIST` function in Excel to fill in the "Probability" column. 2. Calculate the sum of these probabilities to ensure they add up to 1.000000 (within rounding tolerance). ##### Example of Syntax in Excel: To calculate the probability of exactly 0 Republicans in the sample: ```excel =BINOM.DIST(0, 12, 0.39, FALSE) ``` ### Additional Questions: a) What is the probability that four or fewer are Republicans? - This can be computed by summing the probabilities of 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 Republicans in the sample. Use the `BINOM.DIST` function with the cumulative option: ```excel =BINOM.DIST(4, 12, 0.39, TRUE) ``` Sum the probability values in the column to complete this table and ensure accuracy. ### Diagram: There is a table structure provided for inputting values, but no specific graphs or charts. Users should ensure their table's probabilities sum correctly to validate their distribution calculation.
# Analysis of Republican Probability Data

In the following sections, you will perform various calculations about a sample of data concerning the probability of Republicans within a given set. Use the appropriate functions in Excel (or similar spreadsheet software) as indicated.

### Sum the Probability in the Blue Box
- **Instruction**: Sum the given probabilities and verify that they total to 1.
- **Result Box**: 
    ```
    [Blank Cell]
    ```

### Part a) Probability of Four or Fewer Republicans
- **Question**: What is the probability that four or fewer individuals in our sample are Republicans?
- **Instruction**: Use the `SUM` function and the data table provided.
- **Result Box**: 
    ```
    [Yellow Highlighted Cell]
    ```

### Part b) Expected Value of Republicans
- **Question**: What is the expected number of Republicans from this sample?
- **Instruction**: Use the `SUMPRODUCT` function along with the provided table.
- **Result Box**: 
    ```
    [Yellow Highlighted Cell]
    ```

### Part c) Variance and Standard Deviation
- **Question**: What are the variance and standard deviation of the data?
- **Instruction**: Calculate these values.
    - **Variance**: 
      ```
      [Yellow Highlighted Cell]
      ```
    - **Standard Deviation**: 
      ```
      [Blank Cell]
      ```

### Part d) Calculation of \( n*p \)
- **Question**: Calculate the value of \( n*p \) and compare it with the expected value from part b.
- **Instruction**: Compute \( n*p \) using the provided data and compare the results.
    - **Formula**: \( n*p \)
      ```
      [Yellow Highlighted Cell]
      ```
    - **State Conclusion**:
      ```
      [Yellow Highlighted Cell]
      ```

Use these steps to thoroughly analyze and interpret the given data regarding the probability of Republicans in the sample set. Input your results in the designated yellow-highlighted cells.
Transcribed Image Text:# Analysis of Republican Probability Data In the following sections, you will perform various calculations about a sample of data concerning the probability of Republicans within a given set. Use the appropriate functions in Excel (or similar spreadsheet software) as indicated. ### Sum the Probability in the Blue Box - **Instruction**: Sum the given probabilities and verify that they total to 1. - **Result Box**: ``` [Blank Cell] ``` ### Part a) Probability of Four or Fewer Republicans - **Question**: What is the probability that four or fewer individuals in our sample are Republicans? - **Instruction**: Use the `SUM` function and the data table provided. - **Result Box**: ``` [Yellow Highlighted Cell] ``` ### Part b) Expected Value of Republicans - **Question**: What is the expected number of Republicans from this sample? - **Instruction**: Use the `SUMPRODUCT` function along with the provided table. - **Result Box**: ``` [Yellow Highlighted Cell] ``` ### Part c) Variance and Standard Deviation - **Question**: What are the variance and standard deviation of the data? - **Instruction**: Calculate these values. - **Variance**: ``` [Yellow Highlighted Cell] ``` - **Standard Deviation**: ``` [Blank Cell] ``` ### Part d) Calculation of \( n*p \) - **Question**: Calculate the value of \( n*p \) and compare it with the expected value from part b. - **Instruction**: Compute \( n*p \) using the provided data and compare the results. - **Formula**: \( n*p \) ``` [Yellow Highlighted Cell] ``` - **State Conclusion**: ``` [Yellow Highlighted Cell] ``` Use these steps to thoroughly analyze and interpret the given data regarding the probability of Republicans in the sample set. Input your results in the designated yellow-highlighted cells.
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