I examined the statistics for our basketball team’s wins last year and found that, when the third team played more, the winning margin increased. If the coach played the third team more, we would win by a bigger margin.” Which of the following applies to this statement? This statement exemplifies the post hoc ergo propter hoc (“after this, therefore because of this”) fallacy, whereby association is confused with causation.   This statement is correct because third teams always win by larger margins in basketball games.   This statement is correct. If the coach had played the third team more often, the winning margin would have increased.   The statement is logical and exhibits no fallacy.

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN:9780190931919
Author:NEWNAN
Publisher:NEWNAN
Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
Section: Chapter Questions
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Consider the following statement:
“I examined the statistics for our basketball team’s wins last year and found that, when the third team played more, the winning margin increased. If the coach played the third team more, we would win by a bigger margin.”
Which of the following applies to this statement?
This statement exemplifies the post hoc ergo propter hoc (“after this, therefore because of this”) fallacy, whereby association is confused with causation.
 
This statement is correct because third teams always win by larger margins in basketball games.
 
This statement is correct. If the coach had played the third team more often, the winning margin would have increased.
 
The statement is logical and exhibits no fallacy.
 
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