Historically, 40% of Ant Co.'s product rollouts have been successful. Ant Co. could choose to use a focus group to provide feedback on the A-Warren. In the past when Ant Co.'s products were successful (locally or nationally), the focus group predicted this 80% of the time. For products that were not successful, the focus group predicted the product would not be successful 90% of the time. What is the probability that the A-Warren product will be a success when the focus group predicts that it will be unsuccessful?
Historically, 40% of Ant Co.'s product rollouts have been successful. Ant Co. could choose to use a focus group to provide feedback on the A-Warren. In the past when Ant Co.'s products were successful (locally or nationally), the focus group predicted this 80% of the time. For products that were not successful, the focus group predicted the product would not be successful 90% of the time. What is the probability that the A-Warren product will be a success when the focus group predicts that it will be unsuccessful?
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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![Ant Co. has developed a new product, the A-Warren. It is now time to bring the A-Warren product
to market. There are two alternatives for Ant-Co either market the product only in the local area, or
market the product nationally.
If Ant Co. rolls out the A-Warren product locally and it is successful, then the company will receive
$1.4M from product sales. However, if the local rollout is unsuccessful, then the company will lose
$100,000 ($0.1M) due to the costs of advertising.
If Ant Co. rolls out the A-Warren product nationally and it is successful, then the company will
receive $3M from product sales. However, if the national rollout is unsuccessful, then the company
will lose $1M due to the costs of advertising.
Historically, 40% of Ant Co.'s product rollouts have been successful.
Ant Co. could choose to use a focus group to provide feedback on the A-Warren. In the past when
Ant Co.'s products were successful (locally or nationally), the focus group predicted this 80% of the
time. For products that were not successful, the focus group predicted the product would not be
successful 90% of the time.
What is the probability that the A-Warren product will be a success when the focus group predicts
that it will be unsuccessful?
None of the answers are correct.
0.129
0.080
0.200
0.158](/v2/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcontent.bartleby.com%2Fqna-images%2Fquestion%2F53419bf8-add0-48cb-b87d-efce75dfc052%2F08d8f0d4-e1f6-462f-860b-000631c5e53f%2Fgafddts_processed.png&w=3840&q=75)
Transcribed Image Text:Ant Co. has developed a new product, the A-Warren. It is now time to bring the A-Warren product
to market. There are two alternatives for Ant-Co either market the product only in the local area, or
market the product nationally.
If Ant Co. rolls out the A-Warren product locally and it is successful, then the company will receive
$1.4M from product sales. However, if the local rollout is unsuccessful, then the company will lose
$100,000 ($0.1M) due to the costs of advertising.
If Ant Co. rolls out the A-Warren product nationally and it is successful, then the company will
receive $3M from product sales. However, if the national rollout is unsuccessful, then the company
will lose $1M due to the costs of advertising.
Historically, 40% of Ant Co.'s product rollouts have been successful.
Ant Co. could choose to use a focus group to provide feedback on the A-Warren. In the past when
Ant Co.'s products were successful (locally or nationally), the focus group predicted this 80% of the
time. For products that were not successful, the focus group predicted the product would not be
successful 90% of the time.
What is the probability that the A-Warren product will be a success when the focus group predicts
that it will be unsuccessful?
None of the answers are correct.
0.129
0.080
0.200
0.158
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