For the Philippines Basketball Association (PBA) 2013-2014 season, San Mig James Yap was the scoring leader with an average of 33 points per game. The following data shows the average of points per game for the scoring leader from the 2008-2009 season to the 2013-2014 season. Season Average 2008-2009 25                               2009-2010       35 2010-2011 29 2011-2012 34 2012-2013 35 2013-2014 33   Use exponential smoothing to forecast this time series. Consider smoothing constant of ɑ = 0.20 and ɑ = 0.30. What value of the smoothing constant provides the best forecast/ What is the forecast of the leading scoring average for the 2014-2015 season? Graph the forecast at ɑ = 0.30.

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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Author:Amos Gilat
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  1. For the Philippines Basketball Association (PBA) 2013-2014 season, San Mig James Yap was the scoring leader with an average of 33 points per game. The following data shows the average of points per game for the scoring leader from the 2008-2009 season to the 2013-2014 season.

Season

Average

2008-2009

25

                              2009-2010      

35

2010-2011

29

2011-2012

34

2012-2013

35

2013-2014

33

 

  1. Use exponential smoothing to forecast this time series. Consider smoothing constant of ɑ = 0.20 and ɑ = 0.30. What value of the smoothing constant provides the best forecast/
  2. What is the forecast of the leading scoring average for the 2014-2015 season?
  3. Graph the forecast at ɑ = 0.30.
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