Following are forecasted sales, NOPAT, and NOA for Texas Roadhouse for 2016 through 2019. a. Forecast the terminal period values assuming a 1% terminal period growth rate for all three model inputs: Sales, NOPAT, and NOA. Round your answers to the nearest dollar. Reported Forecast Horizon Terminal $ thousands 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Period Sales $1,807,368 $2,078,473 $2,390,244 $2,581,464 $2,787,981 Answer NOPAT 102,495 170,435 196,000 211,680 228,614 Answer NOA 662,502 761,904 876,189 946,284 1,021,987 Answer b. Estimate the value of a share of TXRH common stock using the discounted cash flow (DCF) model as of December 29, 2015; assume a discount rate (WACC) of 7%, common shares outstanding of 70,091 thousand, net nonoperating obligations (NNO) of $(14,680) thousand, and noncontrolling interest (NCI) from the balance sheet of $7,520 thousand. Note that NNO is negative because the company’s cash exceeds its nonoperating liabilities. Rounding instructions: Use rounded answers for subsequent computations. Round answers to the nearest whole number unless otherwise noted. Round discount factor to 5 decimal places and stock price per share to two decimal places. Use a negative sign with your negative NNO answer. Otherwise, do not use negative signs with your answers. TXRH Forecast Horizon Terminal $ thousands 2016 2017 2018 2019 Period Increase in NOA Answer Answer Answer Answer Answer FCFF (NOPAT - Increase in NOA) Answer Answer Answer Answer Answer Discount factor [1 / (1 + rw)t ] Answer Answer Answer Answer Present value of horizon FCFF Answer Answer Answer Answer Cum PV of horizon FCFF Answer Present value of terminal FCFF Answer Total firm value Answer NNO Answer NCI Answer Firm equity value Answer Shares outstanding (thousands) Answer Stock price per share Answer
Estimating Share Value Using the DCF Model
Following are forecasted sales,
a.
Round your answers to the nearest dollar.
Reported | Forecast Horizon | Terminal | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$ thousands | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Period |
Sales | $1,807,368 | $2,078,473 | $2,390,244 | $2,581,464 | $2,787,981 | Answer
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NOPAT | 102,495 | 170,435 | 196,000 | 211,680 | 228,614 | Answer
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NOA | 662,502 | 761,904 | 876,189 | 946,284 | 1,021,987 | Answer
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b. Estimate the value of a share of TXRH common stock using the discounted
Rounding instructions:
-
Use rounded answers for subsequent computations.
- Round answers to the nearest whole number unless otherwise noted.
- Round discount factor to 5 decimal places and stock price per share to two decimal places.
- Use a negative sign with your negative NNO answer. Otherwise, do not use negative signs with your answers.
TXRH | Forecast Horizon | Terminal | ||||
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$ thousands | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Period | |
Increase in NOA | Answer
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FCFF (NOPAT - Increase in NOA) | Answer
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Discount factor [1 / (1 + rw)t ] | Answer
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Present value of horizon FCFF | Answer
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Cum PV of horizon FCFF | Answer
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Present value of terminal FCFF | Answer
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Total firm value | Answer
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NNO | Answer
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NCI | Answer
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Firm equity value | Answer
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Shares outstanding (thousands) | Answer
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Stock price per share | Answer |
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