Deborah Mitz buys Breathalyzer test sets for the Police Department. The quality of the test sets from her two suppliers is indicated in the following table: (image attach)    For example, the probability of getting a batch of tests that are 1% defective from Loomba Technology is .70. Because Mitz orders 10,000 tests per order, this would mean that there is a .7 probability of getting 100 defective tests out of the 10,000 tests if Loomba Technology is used to fill the order. A defective Breathalyzer test set can be repaired for $0.50. Although the quality of the test sets of the second supplier, Stewart-Douglas Enterprises, is lower, it will sell an order of 10,000 test sets for $37 less than Loomba. a) Develop a decision tree. b) Which supplier should Kellogg use?

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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Deborah Mitz buys Breathalyzer test sets for the Police Department. The quality of the test sets from her two suppliers is indicated in the following table: (image attach) 

 

For example, the probability of getting a batch of tests that are 1% defective from Loomba Technology is .70. Because Mitz orders 10,000 tests per order, this would mean that there is a .7 probability of getting 100 defective tests out of the 10,000 tests if Loomba Technology is used to fill the order. A defective Breathalyzer test set can be repaired for $0.50. Although the quality of the test sets of the second supplier, Stewart-Douglas Enterprises, is lower, it will sell an order of 10,000 test sets for $37 less than Loomba.


a) Develop a decision tree.
b) Which supplier should Kellogg use?

Percent
Probability for
Probability for
Stewart-Douglas
Enterprises
Defective
Loomba
Technology
1
0.7
0.30
0.2
0.30
5
0.10
0.4
3.
Transcribed Image Text:Percent Probability for Probability for Stewart-Douglas Enterprises Defective Loomba Technology 1 0.7 0.30 0.2 0.30 5 0.10 0.4 3.
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