Currently it is estimated that 2 out of every 1000 Californians are infected with coronavirus. The so-called rapid "antigen" test for coronavirus has a very low false positive rate of just 0.02, but has a high false negative rate of 0.27. The so-called PCR test is more reliable: it has an even lower false positive rate than the antigen test, namely only 0.001, but even more importantly its false negative rate is much lower at 0.01. What is the probability that you have a coronavirus infection conditional on your PCR test has coming back positive?
Currently it is estimated that 2 out of every 1000 Californians are infected with coronavirus. The so-called rapid "antigen" test for coronavirus has a very low false positive rate of just 0.02, but has a high false negative rate of 0.27. The so-called PCR test is more reliable: it has an even lower false positive rate than the antigen test, namely only 0.001, but even more importantly its false negative rate is much lower at 0.01. What is the probability that you have a coronavirus infection conditional on your PCR test has coming back positive?
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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