Consider the following time series data. Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 Value 18 13 18 14 15 15 Using the naive method (most recent value) as the forecast for the next week, compute the following measures of forecast accuracy. a. Mean absolute error (to 1 decimal). b. Mean squared error (to 1 decimal). c. Mean absolute percentage error (to 2 decimals).
Consider the following time series data. Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 Value 18 13 18 14 15 15 Using the naive method (most recent value) as the forecast for the next week, compute the following measures of forecast accuracy. a. Mean absolute error (to 1 decimal). b. Mean squared error (to 1 decimal). c. Mean absolute percentage error (to 2 decimals).
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1P
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Transcribed Image Text:### Exercise 17.01 Algo (Forecast Accuracy)
#### Consider the following time series data:
| **Week** | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|----------|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **Value** | 18 | 13 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
Using the naive method (most recent value) as the forecast for the next week, compute the following measures of forecast accuracy:
**a. Mean absolute error (to 1 decimal):**
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**b. Mean squared error (to 1 decimal):**
Input Box
**c. Mean absolute percentage error (to 2 decimals):**
Input Box %
**d. What is the forecast for week 7 (to 2 decimals)?**
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### Explanation of Graphs/Diagrams:
This exercise involves a table of time series data for six weeks with corresponding values. The objective is to compute various measures of forecast accuracy using the naive method, where the forecast for the next period is the actual value from the most recent period.
Try to calculate the mean absolute error, mean squared error, mean absolute percentage error, and the forecast for the next week based on given values.
For more information or to verify your answers, use the provided hints or check your work options.
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