Consider the following MA(2) process: Yt = 2 + 0.5t-1 -0.25t-2 + Et, Et ~ N (0, 1), Specify the margin of error for the 95% confidence interval around the optimal TWO-step ahead forecast. You may use the fact that for Z, a standard Normal random variable, P(|Z|>1.96)=0.95.

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Consider the following MA (2) process:
Yt = 2 + 0.5t-1 - 0.25€t-2 + Et,
Et ~
N (0,1),
Specify the margin of error for the 95% confidence interval around the optimal TWO-step ahead forecast.
You may use the fact that for Z, a standard Normal random variable, P(|Z|>1.96)=0.95.
Transcribed Image Text:Consider the following MA (2) process: Yt = 2 + 0.5t-1 - 0.25€t-2 + Et, Et ~ N (0,1), Specify the margin of error for the 95% confidence interval around the optimal TWO-step ahead forecast. You may use the fact that for Z, a standard Normal random variable, P(|Z|>1.96)=0.95.
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