Before the furniture store began its ad campaign, it averaged 200 customers per day. The manager is investigating if the average is larger since the ad came out. The data for the 16 randomly selected days since the ad campaign began is shown below: 209, 193, 187, 205, 209, 218, 211, 223, 229, 199, 207, 209, 207, 210, 202, 233 Assuming that the distribution is normal, what can be concluded at the αα = 0.10 level of significance? The null and alternative hypotheses would be: H0: H1: The test statistic = ______________ (please show your answer to 3 decimal places.) The p-value = ________ (Please show your answer to 4 decimal places.)
Continuous Probability Distributions
Probability distributions are of two types, which are continuous probability distributions and discrete probability distributions. A continuous probability distribution contains an infinite number of values. For example, if time is infinite: you could count from 0 to a trillion seconds, billion seconds, so on indefinitely. A discrete probability distribution consists of only a countable set of possible values.
Normal Distribution
Suppose we had to design a bathroom weighing scale, how would we decide what should be the range of the weighing machine? Would we take the highest recorded human weight in history and use that as the upper limit for our weighing scale? This may not be a great idea as the sensitivity of the scale would get reduced if the range is too large. At the same time, if we keep the upper limit too low, it may not be usable for a large percentage of the population!
Before the furniture store began its ad campaign, it averaged 200 customers per day. The manager is investigating if the average is larger since the ad came out. The data for the 16 randomly selected days since the ad campaign began is shown below:
209, 193, 187, 205, 209, 218, 211, 223, 229, 199, 207, 209, 207, 210, 202, 233
Assuming that the distribution is normal, what can be concluded at the αα = 0.10 level of significance?
- The null and alternative hypotheses would be:
H0:
H1:
- The test statistic = ______________ (please show your answer to 3 decimal places.)
- The p-value = ________ (Please show your answer to 4 decimal places.)
- Thus, the final conclusion is that ...
- The data suggest the populaton
mean is significantly more than 200 at αα = 0.10, so there is sufficient evidence to conclude that the population mean number of customers since the ad campaign began is more than 200. - The data suggest that the population mean number of customers since the ad campaign began is not significantly more than 200 at αα = 0.10, so there is insufficient evidence to conclude that the population mean number of customers since the ad campaign began is more than 200.
- The data suggest the population mean is not significantly more than 200 at αα = 0.10, so there is sufficient evidence to conclude that the population mean number of customers since the ad campaign began is equal to 200.
- The data suggest the populaton
- Interpret the p-value in the context of the study.
- There is a 0.33709484% chance of a Type I error.
- If the population mean number of customers since the ad campaign began is 200 and if you collect data for another 16 days since the ad campaign began then there would be a 0.33709484% chance that the population mean number of customers since the ad campaign began would be greater than 200.
- There is a 0.33709484% chance that the population mean number of customers since the ad campaign began is greater than 200.
- If the population mean number of customers since the ad campaign began is 200 and if you collect data for another 16 days since the ad campaign began then there would be a 0.33709484% chance that the sample mean for these 16 days would be greater than 209.4.
- Interpret the level of significance in the context of the study.
- There is a 10% chance that the population mean number of customers since the ad campaign began is more than 200.
- If the population mean number of customers since the ad campaign began is more than 200 and if you collect data for another 16 days since the ad campaign began, then there would be a 10% chance that we would end up falsely concuding that the population mean number of customers since the ad campaign is equal to 200.
- If the population mean number of customers since the ad campaign began is 200 and if you collect data for another 16 days since the ad campaign began, then there would be a 10% chance that we would end up falsely concuding that the population mean number of customers since the ad campaign began is more than 200.
- There is a 10% chance that there will be no customers since everyone shops online nowadays.
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