Base Rate Fallacy Illustration and Simpson's Paradox Base Rate Fallacy: Israeli data: How can efficacy vs. severe disease be strong when 60% of hospitalized are vaccinated? This was asked in Aug. 2021 when Israel shared the data on the number of vaccinated who were hospitalized. The "60% of hospitalized are vaccinated" implies that vaccination is not working. However, this is a case not only of Base Rate Fallacy but also Simpson's Paradox. (Video on these topics are linked. Please watch if you have not yet.) This assignment is going to take you through the data and calculations to understand how these two statistical phenomena can occur. Table A Age All Ages Population Size Not Vax Fully Vax Severe Cases Not Vax 214 Fully Vax 301 1. Find the proportion of Fully Vax in the hospital with severe cases. Is this close to 60% like the headlines in the news claims?

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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Author:Amos Gilat
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Base Rate Fallacy Illustration and Simpson's Paradox
Base Rate Fallacy:
Israeli data: How can efficacy vs. severe disease be strong when 60% of hospitalized are
vaccinated?
This was asked in Aug. 2021 when Israel shared the data on the number of vaccinated who
were hospitalized. The "60% of hospitalized are vaccinated" implies that vaccination is not
working. However, this is a case not only of Base Rate Fallacy but also Simpson's Paradox.
(Video on these topics are linked. Please watch if you have not yet.)
This assignment is going to take you through the data and calculations to understand how these
two statistical phenomena can occur.
Table A
Age
All Ages
Population Size
Not Vax
Fully Vax
Severe Cases
Not Vax
214
Fully Vax
301
1. Find the proportion of Fully Vax in the hospital with severe cases. Is this close to 60% like
the headlines in the news claims?
Transcribed Image Text:Base Rate Fallacy Illustration and Simpson's Paradox Base Rate Fallacy: Israeli data: How can efficacy vs. severe disease be strong when 60% of hospitalized are vaccinated? This was asked in Aug. 2021 when Israel shared the data on the number of vaccinated who were hospitalized. The "60% of hospitalized are vaccinated" implies that vaccination is not working. However, this is a case not only of Base Rate Fallacy but also Simpson's Paradox. (Video on these topics are linked. Please watch if you have not yet.) This assignment is going to take you through the data and calculations to understand how these two statistical phenomena can occur. Table A Age All Ages Population Size Not Vax Fully Vax Severe Cases Not Vax 214 Fully Vax 301 1. Find the proportion of Fully Vax in the hospital with severe cases. Is this close to 60% like the headlines in the news claims?
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