At any given time, a subatomic particle can be in one of two states, and it moves randomly from one state to another when it is excited. If it is in state 1 on one observation, then it is 2 times as likely to be in state 1 as state 2 on the next observation. Likewise, if it is in the state 2 on one observation, then it is 2 as likely to be in the state 2 as state 1 on the next observation. 1. Find the transition matrix for this Markov chain. 1/3 ...

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At any given time, a subatomic particle can be in one of two states, and it moves randomly from one state to another when it is excited. If it is in state 1 on one observation, then it is 2 times as likely to be in state 1 as state 2 on the next observation. Likewise, if it is in state 2 on one observation, then it is 2 as likely to be in the state 2 as state 1 on the next observation.

1. **Find the transition matrix for this Markov chain.**

   \[
   \begin{bmatrix}
   \frac{2}{3} & \frac{1}{3} \\
   \frac{1}{3} & \frac{2}{3} \\
   \end{bmatrix}
   \]

2. **Researchers estimate that the particle is currently 3 times as likely to be in state 1 as state 2. Find the probability vector representing this estimation.**

   \[
   \begin{bmatrix}
   \frac{3}{4} \\
   \frac{1}{4} \\
   \end{bmatrix}
   \]

3. **Based on this estimation, what is the probability that the particle will be in state 2 two weeks from now?**

   \[
   \begin{bmatrix}
   ? \\
   ? \\
   \end{bmatrix}
   \]

4. **What is the probability that the particle will be in the state 1 three weeks from now?**

   \[
   \begin{bmatrix}
   ? \\
   ? \\
   \end{bmatrix}
   \]
Transcribed Image Text:At any given time, a subatomic particle can be in one of two states, and it moves randomly from one state to another when it is excited. If it is in state 1 on one observation, then it is 2 times as likely to be in state 1 as state 2 on the next observation. Likewise, if it is in state 2 on one observation, then it is 2 as likely to be in the state 2 as state 1 on the next observation. 1. **Find the transition matrix for this Markov chain.** \[ \begin{bmatrix} \frac{2}{3} & \frac{1}{3} \\ \frac{1}{3} & \frac{2}{3} \\ \end{bmatrix} \] 2. **Researchers estimate that the particle is currently 3 times as likely to be in state 1 as state 2. Find the probability vector representing this estimation.** \[ \begin{bmatrix} \frac{3}{4} \\ \frac{1}{4} \\ \end{bmatrix} \] 3. **Based on this estimation, what is the probability that the particle will be in state 2 two weeks from now?** \[ \begin{bmatrix} ? \\ ? \\ \end{bmatrix} \] 4. **What is the probability that the particle will be in the state 1 three weeks from now?** \[ \begin{bmatrix} ? \\ ? \\ \end{bmatrix} \]
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