Assume that a survey of the morning beverage market shows that the primary breakfast beverage for 17% of Canadians is milk. A milk producer in Quebec, where milk is plentiful, believes the figure is higher for Quebec. To test this idea, she contacts a random sample of 550 Quebec residents and asks which primary beverage they consumed for breakfast that day. Suppose 100 replied that milk was the primary beverage. Now, suppose that a uniform prior is assigned to T. Find the predictive probability that the next Quebec resident contacted by the milk producer replies that milk is her/his primary beverage. Note. T = proportion of Quebec residents whose primary breakfast beverage is milk.

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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Assume that a survey of the
morning beverage market shows
that the primary breakfast beverage
for 17% of Canadians is milk. A milk
producer in Quebec, where milk is
plentiful, believes the figure is
higher for Quebec. To test this
idea, she contacts a random sample
of 550 Quebec residents and asks
which primary beverage they
consumed for breakfast that day.
Suppose 100 replied that milk was
the primary beverage.
Now, suppose that a uniform prior is
assigned to T. Find the predictive
probability that the next Quebec
resident contacted by the milk
producer replies that milk is her/his
primary beverage.
Note. T =
proportion of Quebec
residents whose primary breakfast
beverage is milk.
Please round your final answer to 4
decimal places.
Transcribed Image Text:Assume that a survey of the morning beverage market shows that the primary breakfast beverage for 17% of Canadians is milk. A milk producer in Quebec, where milk is plentiful, believes the figure is higher for Quebec. To test this idea, she contacts a random sample of 550 Quebec residents and asks which primary beverage they consumed for breakfast that day. Suppose 100 replied that milk was the primary beverage. Now, suppose that a uniform prior is assigned to T. Find the predictive probability that the next Quebec resident contacted by the milk producer replies that milk is her/his primary beverage. Note. T = proportion of Quebec residents whose primary breakfast beverage is milk. Please round your final answer to 4 decimal places.
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