An office manager feels that for a certain kind ofbusiness the daily number of incoming telephone calls is a random variable having a Poisson distribution, whoseparameter has a prior gamma distribution with α = 50and β = 2. Being told that one such business had 112 incoming calls on a given day, what would be her esti-mate of that particular business’s average daily number of incoming calls if she considers(a) only the prior information;(b) only the direct information; (c) both kinds of information and the theory of Exer-cise 77?

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An office manager feels that for a certain kind of
business the daily number of incoming telephone calls is

a random variable having a Poisson distribution, whose
parameter has a prior gamma distribution with α = 50
and β = 2. Being told that one such business had 112

incoming calls on a given day, what would be her esti-
mate of that particular business’s average daily number

of incoming calls if she considers
(a) only the prior information;
(b) only the direct information;

(c) both kinds of information and the theory of Exer-
cise 77?

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