An investor is concerned with the market return for the coming year, where the market return is defined as the percentage gain (or loss, if negative) over the year. The investor believes there are five possible scenarios for the national economy in the coming year: rapid expansion, moderate expansion, no growth, moderate contraction, and serious contraction. Furthermore, she has used all of the information available to her to estimate that the market returns for these scenarios are, respectively, 23%, 18%, 15%, 9%, and 3%. That is, the possible returns vary from a high of 23% to a low of 3%. Also, she has assessed that the probabilities of these outcomes are 0.12, 0.40, 0.25, 0.15, and 0.08. Use this information to describe the probability distribution of the market return. Compute the following for the probability distribution of the market return for the coming year.: 1. Mean, 2. Variance, 3. Standard deviation

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ISBN:9780470458365
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An investor is concerned with the market return for the coming year, where the market return is
defined as the percentage gain (or loss, if negative) over the year. The investor believes there
are five possible scenarios for the national economy in the coming year: rapid expansion,
moderate expansion, no growth, moderate contraction, and serious contraction. Furthermore,
she has used all of the information available to her to estimate that the market returns for these
scenarios are, respectively, 23%, 18%, 15%, 9%, and 3%. That is, the possible returns vary
from a high of 23% to a low of 3%. Also, she has assessed that the probabilities of these
outcomes are 0.12, 0.40, 0.25, 0.15, and 0.08. Use this information to describe the probability
distribution of the market return.
Compute the following for the probability distribution of the market return for the coming year.:
1. Mean,
2. Variance,
3. Standard deviation
Transcribed Image Text:An investor is concerned with the market return for the coming year, where the market return is defined as the percentage gain (or loss, if negative) over the year. The investor believes there are five possible scenarios for the national economy in the coming year: rapid expansion, moderate expansion, no growth, moderate contraction, and serious contraction. Furthermore, she has used all of the information available to her to estimate that the market returns for these scenarios are, respectively, 23%, 18%, 15%, 9%, and 3%. That is, the possible returns vary from a high of 23% to a low of 3%. Also, she has assessed that the probabilities of these outcomes are 0.12, 0.40, 0.25, 0.15, and 0.08. Use this information to describe the probability distribution of the market return. Compute the following for the probability distribution of the market return for the coming year.: 1. Mean, 2. Variance, 3. Standard deviation
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