Corn crop yields vary by state. In 2008, IOWA averaged 172 bushels/acre. On September 3, 2009, the published market price per bushel was 319.25 cents/bushel. Jimmy Harold is analying a heavily leveraged purchase of some additional acreage, and his decision to purchase is based on the expected yield during his first crop year. After analyzing historical rainfall and long range weather forecasts, Jimmy compiled the following table of crop yields. rainfail yield(bu/acre) probability below average 154 0.15 average 172 0.4 above average 177 0.45 What is the expected corn crop yield, E[Y]  based on the data in Jimmy's?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Corn crop yields vary by state. In 2008, IOWA averaged 172 bushels/acre. On September 3, 2009, the published market price per bushel was 319.25 cents/bushel.

Jimmy Harold is analying a heavily leveraged purchase of some additional acreage, and his decision to purchase is based on the expected yield during his first crop year. After analyzing historical rainfall and long range weather forecasts, Jimmy compiled the following table of crop yields.

rainfail yield(bu/acre) probability
below average 154 0.15
average 172 0.4
above average 177 0.45

What is the expected corn crop yield, E[Y]  based on the data in Jimmy's?

E[Y] =              (to 2 decimal places).

 

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