An educational entrepreneur is planning to run a computer course. He has narrowed down his options to two courses : CUR and FUT. CUR is based on the existing software packages whereas FUT is based on new packages which are expected to storm the software market in the near future. In consultation with software specialists he has arrived at the following estimates : (i) Probability of getting a return of dollar 5 crore is 0-6 for FUT and 0-2 with CUR. (ii) FUT's return could be as low as dollar 40 lakh with a probability 0.4 and the corresponding probability for CUR is 0-8. (iii) FUT will cost him dollar 1 crore and CUR only dollar 30 lakh. Using EMV obtain the optimum strategy.

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Probability
An educational entrepreneur is planning to run
a computer course. He has narrowed down his
options to two courses : CUR and FUT. CUR is
based on the existing software packages
whereas FUT is based on new packages which
are expected to storm the software market in
the near future. In consultation with software
specialists he has arrived at the following
estimates :
(i) Probability of getting a return of dollar 5
crore is 0-6 for FUT and 0-2 with CUR.
(ii) FUT's return could be as low as dollar 40
lakh with a probability 0.4 and the
corresponding probability for CUR is 0-8.
(iii) FUT will cost him dollar 1 crore and CUR
only dollar 30 lakh.
Using EMV obtain the optimum strategy.
Transcribed Image Text:Probability An educational entrepreneur is planning to run a computer course. He has narrowed down his options to two courses : CUR and FUT. CUR is based on the existing software packages whereas FUT is based on new packages which are expected to storm the software market in the near future. In consultation with software specialists he has arrived at the following estimates : (i) Probability of getting a return of dollar 5 crore is 0-6 for FUT and 0-2 with CUR. (ii) FUT's return could be as low as dollar 40 lakh with a probability 0.4 and the corresponding probability for CUR is 0-8. (iii) FUT will cost him dollar 1 crore and CUR only dollar 30 lakh. Using EMV obtain the optimum strategy.
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