a) Genenesis Dispensary is contemplating of opening a new branch in Mwanza. If the medical for medical service is favourable, Genesis could realize a net profit of Tsh.100 million. On the other hand, if the market turn out to be unfavourable, it can end up losing Tsh. 40 million. Of course, Genesis may opt not to persue this option of expanding its operations. In the absence of data from which to base its decision, te best guess for Gensis is equally likely that the dispensary will either be successful or unsuccessful Required: i) Use the decison tree approach, what decison should Genesis Dispensary take b) Market research firm named, Easy Market Access approach Genesis with an offer to undertake a study of Mwanza medical service market at a fee of Tsh. 5 million. Easy Market Access claims that their experience enables them to use Bayes’ Theoremn to make the following statements about different state of the market: ▪ Provide that the study is favourable, the probability of favourable market is 0.82, while that of unfavourable is 0.18 ▪ Provide that the study is ufavourable, the probability of favourable market is 0.11, while that of unfavourable is 0.89 ▪ Probability of a favourable and unfavourable research study are 0.55 and 0.45, respectively. Required: i) Use the decision tree approach to advice the Health Planet medical professionals as to whether they should engage the market research firm

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)

10th Edition

ISBN:9780134753119

Author:Sheldon Ross

Publisher:Sheldon Ross

Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...

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a) Genenesis Dispensary is contemplating of opening a new branch in Mwanza. If the medical for medical service is favourable, Genesis could realize a net profit of Tsh.100 million. On the other hand, if the market turn out to be unfavourable, it can end up losing Tsh. 40 million. Of course, Genesis may opt not to persue this option of expanding its operations. In the absence of data from which to base its decision, te best guess for Gensis is equally likely that the dispensary will either be successful or unsuccessful Required: i) Use the decison tree approach, what decison should Genesis Dispensary take b) Market research firm named, Easy Market Access approach Genesis with an offer to undertake a study of Mwanza medical service market at a fee of Tsh. 5 million. Easy Market Access claims that their experience enables them to use Bayes’ Theoremn to make the following statements about different state of the market: ▪ Provide that the study is favourable, the probability of favourable market is 0.82, while that of unfavourable is 0.18 ▪ Provide that the study is ufavourable, the probability of favourable market is 0.11, while that of unfavourable is 0.89 ▪ Probability of a favourable and unfavourable research study are 0.55 and 0.45, respectively. Required: i) Use the decision tree approach to advice the Health Planet medical professionals as to whether they should engage the market research firm

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