An airline knows from experience that the distribution of the number of suitcases that get lost each week on a certain route is approximately normal with µ = 15.5 and σ = 3.6. What is the probability that during a given week the airline will lose less than 20 suitcases? 0.3944 0.1056 0.8944 0.4040

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### Statistical Probability in Airline Operations

**Problem Statement:**

An airline knows from experience that the distribution of the number of suitcases that get lost each week on a certain route is approximately normal with a mean (\(\mu\)) of 15.5 and a standard deviation (\(\sigma\)) of 3.6. 

**Question:**
What is the probability that during a given week the airline will lose less than 20 suitcases?

**Options:**

- \( \circ \) 0.3944
- \( \circ \) 0.1056
- \( \circ \) 0.8944
- \( \circ \) 0.4040

### Explanation:

To solve this problem, we need to understand the properties of the normal distribution. Given the normal distribution parameters (mean \(\mu = 15.5\) and standard deviation \(\sigma = 3.6\)), we can determine the probability by calculating the Z-score and then using the standard normal distribution table.

1. **Calculate the Z-score:**
   The Z-score for a value \(X = 20\) can be calculated using the formula:
   \[
   Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}
   \]
   Here, \(X = 20\), \(\mu = 15.5\), and \(\sigma = 3.6\). 
   \[
   Z = \frac{20 - 15.5}{3.6} \approx 1.25
   \]

2. **Find the Probability:**
   Using the Z-score, we can find the probability that a value is less than 20 by looking up 1.25 in the standard normal distribution table. The table gives the probability that a standard normal variable is less than the Z-score.
   
   The standard normal distribution table value for a Z-score of 1.25 is approximately 0.8944, indicating that there is an 89.44% chance that the airline will lose less than 20 suitcases during a given week.

Therefore, the answer is:
- \( \circ \) **0.8944**
Transcribed Image Text:### Statistical Probability in Airline Operations **Problem Statement:** An airline knows from experience that the distribution of the number of suitcases that get lost each week on a certain route is approximately normal with a mean (\(\mu\)) of 15.5 and a standard deviation (\(\sigma\)) of 3.6. **Question:** What is the probability that during a given week the airline will lose less than 20 suitcases? **Options:** - \( \circ \) 0.3944 - \( \circ \) 0.1056 - \( \circ \) 0.8944 - \( \circ \) 0.4040 ### Explanation: To solve this problem, we need to understand the properties of the normal distribution. Given the normal distribution parameters (mean \(\mu = 15.5\) and standard deviation \(\sigma = 3.6\)), we can determine the probability by calculating the Z-score and then using the standard normal distribution table. 1. **Calculate the Z-score:** The Z-score for a value \(X = 20\) can be calculated using the formula: \[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \] Here, \(X = 20\), \(\mu = 15.5\), and \(\sigma = 3.6\). \[ Z = \frac{20 - 15.5}{3.6} \approx 1.25 \] 2. **Find the Probability:** Using the Z-score, we can find the probability that a value is less than 20 by looking up 1.25 in the standard normal distribution table. The table gives the probability that a standard normal variable is less than the Z-score. The standard normal distribution table value for a Z-score of 1.25 is approximately 0.8944, indicating that there is an 89.44% chance that the airline will lose less than 20 suitcases during a given week. Therefore, the answer is: - \( \circ \) **0.8944**
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