a. What would this loan sell for today if scenario III results in a deed-in-lieu, and scenario II results in a strategic default in which the difference between the borrower's and lender's extreme position is split 50/50? b. What is the present value cost of credit risk?

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
Section: Chapter Questions
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L 27

4. Consider a non-recourse mortgage with one payment of $10,600,000 due one year from now.
The uncertain future is characterized by the following scenarios and probabilities:
Scenario 1: 70% probability, property worth $13,000,000
Scenario II: 20% probability, property worth $11,000,000
Scenario III: 10% probability, property worth $9,000,000
I.
II.
III.
If foreclosure occurs, the (deadweight) cost paid to third parties will be $2,000,000. One-year US
Treasuries are yielding 6% and investors require a risk premium of 1%.
a. What would this loan sell for today if scenario III results in a deed-in-lieu, and scenario II
results in a strategic default in which the difference between the borrower's and
lender's extreme position is split 50/50?
b. What is the present value cost of credit risk?
Transcribed Image Text:4. Consider a non-recourse mortgage with one payment of $10,600,000 due one year from now. The uncertain future is characterized by the following scenarios and probabilities: Scenario 1: 70% probability, property worth $13,000,000 Scenario II: 20% probability, property worth $11,000,000 Scenario III: 10% probability, property worth $9,000,000 I. II. III. If foreclosure occurs, the (deadweight) cost paid to third parties will be $2,000,000. One-year US Treasuries are yielding 6% and investors require a risk premium of 1%. a. What would this loan sell for today if scenario III results in a deed-in-lieu, and scenario II results in a strategic default in which the difference between the borrower's and lender's extreme position is split 50/50? b. What is the present value cost of credit risk?
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