A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 82 percent reliable when the person is guilty and 94 percent reliable when the person is innocent. In other words, 18 percent of the guilty are judged innocent by the serum and 6 percent of the innocent are judged guilty. If the suspect was selected from a group of suspects of which only 8 percent are guilty of having committed a crime, and the serum indicates that the suspect is guilty of having committed a crime, what is the probability that the suspect is innocent? (Round your answer to 3 decimal places.)

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
icon
Related questions
Question

A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 82 percent reliable when the person is guilty and 94 percent reliable when the person is innocent. In other words, 18 percent of the guilty are judged innocent by the serum and 6 percent of the innocent are judged guilty. If the suspect was selected from a group of suspects of which only 8 percent are guilty of having committed a crime, and the serum indicates that the suspect is guilty of having committed a crime, what is the probability that the suspect is innocent? (Round your answer to 3 decimal places.)

Probability:

(0.841 is incorrect, taken from a different post of this question).

Dont do handwritten, do with concept and pls correct.

Expert Solution
trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 3 steps with 8 images

Blurred answer
Similar questions
Recommended textbooks for you
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
Probability
ISBN:
9780134753119
Author:
Sheldon Ross
Publisher:
PEARSON
A First Course in Probability
A First Course in Probability
Probability
ISBN:
9780321794772
Author:
Sheldon Ross
Publisher:
PEARSON