A manager is trying to decide whether to buy one machine or two. If only one machine is purchased and demand proves to be excessive, the second machine can be purchased later. Some sales would be lost, however, because the lead time for delivery of this type of machine is six months. In addition, the cost per machine will be lower if both machines are purchased at the same time. The probability of low demand is estimated to be 0.20 and that of high demand to be 0.80. The after-tax NPV of the benefits from purchasing two machines together is $70,000 if demand is low and $170,000 if demand is high. If one machine is purchased and demand is low, the NPV is $100,000. If demand is high, the manager has three options: (1) doing nothing, which has an NPV of $100,000; (2) subcontracting, with an NPV of $140,000; and (3) buying the second machine, with an NPV of $120,000. What is the best decision and what is its expected payoff? Best decision is to buy nothing machine(s) and its expected payoff is $nothing. (Enter your responses as integers.)
A manager is trying to decide whether to buy one machine or two. If only one machine is purchased and demand proves to be excessive, the second machine can be purchased later. Some sales would be lost, however, because the lead time for delivery of this type of machine is six months. In addition, the cost per machine will be lower if both machines are purchased at the same time. The probability of low demand is estimated to be 0.20 and that of high demand to be 0.80. The after-tax NPV of the benefits from purchasing two machines together is $70,000 if demand is low and $170,000 if demand is high. If one machine is purchased and demand is low, the NPV is $100,000. If demand is high, the manager has three options: (1) doing nothing, which has an NPV of $100,000; (2) subcontracting, with an NPV of $140,000; and (3) buying the second machine, with an NPV of $120,000. What is the best decision and what is its expected payoff? Best decision is to buy nothing machine(s) and its expected payoff is $nothing. (Enter your responses as integers.)
Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1PS
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Question
A manager is trying to decide whether to buy one machine or two. If only one machine is purchased and demand proves to be excessive, the second machine can be purchased later. Some sales would be lost, however, because the lead time for delivery of this type of machine is six months. In addition, the cost per machine will be lower if both machines are purchased at the same time. The probability of low demand is estimated to be
0.20
and that of high demand to be
0.80.
The after-tax NPV of the benefits from purchasing two machines together is
$70,000
if demand is low and
$170,000
if demand is high.If one machine is purchased and demand is low, the NPV is
$100,000.
If demand is high, the manager has three options: (1) doing nothing, which has an NPV of
$100,000;
(2) subcontracting, with an NPV of
$140,000;
and (3) buying the second machine, with an NPV of
$120,000.
What is the best decision and what is its expected payoff?
Best decision is to buy
nothing
machine(s) and its expected payoff is
$nothing.
(Enter
your responses as
integers.)
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