A firm has three investment alternatives. The payoff from each alternative (in thousand Ringgit) under each state of nature and its associated probabilities are as given in table below. Economic Condition Stable Up 75 Investment Down D1 50 25 D2 100 25 D3 50 50 50 Probabilities 0.3 0.5 0.2 a) Using the expected value approach, which investment is preferred? b) For the investment having a payoff of RM100,000 with probability p and RMO with probability (1 - p), two decision makers expressed the following indifference probabilities as given in table below. Indifference Probability (p) Decision Maker Decision Maker B Profit (RM) 75,000 50,000 25,000 A 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3
A firm has three investment alternatives. The payoff from each alternative (in thousand Ringgit) under each state of nature and its associated probabilities are as given in table below. Economic Condition Stable Up 75 Investment Down D1 50 25 D2 100 25 D3 50 50 50 Probabilities 0.3 0.5 0.2 a) Using the expected value approach, which investment is preferred? b) For the investment having a payoff of RM100,000 with probability p and RMO with probability (1 - p), two decision makers expressed the following indifference probabilities as given in table below. Indifference Probability (p) Decision Maker Decision Maker B Profit (RM) 75,000 50,000 25,000 A 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
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