A doctor is trying to decide if a patient has one of three diseases d1, d2, or d3. Two tests are to be carried out, each of which results in a positive (P) or a negative (N) outcome. There are four possible test patterns PP, PN, NP, and NN. National records have indicated that, for 10,000 people having one of these three diseases, the distribution of diseases, and test results are as shown below: Please find the image below   What is the probability that a randomly selected patient has the 2nd disease d2? What is the probability that a randomly selected patient has a test result of NP? If a randomly selected patient gets a test result of NP, what is the probability that the patient has the third disease d3?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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A doctor is trying to decide if a patient has one of three diseases d1, d2, or d3. Two tests are to be carried out, each of which results in a positive (P) or a negative (N) outcome. There are four possible test patterns PP, PN, NP, and NN. National records have indicated that, for 10,000 people having one of these three diseases, the distribution of diseases, and test results are as shown below: Please find the image below

 

  • What is the probability that a randomly selected patient has the 2nd disease d2?

  • What is the probability that a randomly selected patient has a test result of NP?

  • If a randomly selected patient gets a test result of NP, what is the probability that the patient has the third disease d3?

Disease PP PN
d₁
2110 301
396
510
d₂
d3
NP NN
704
100
132 1187
410
3568
73 509
Transcribed Image Text:Disease PP PN d₁ 2110 301 396 510 d₂ d3 NP NN 704 100 132 1187 410 3568 73 509
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