A bank faces a pool of high and low risk borrowers with measure one in two successive periods. In each period, each borrower wishes to borrow 1 from the bank. A low-risk borrower's project returns G = 2 with probability pg = 0.8 and high- risk borrower's project yields B = 3 with probability p = 0.2 in each period. If a project is unsuccessful, it yields zero. The bank knows that the proportion of low-risk borrowers is y = 0.5. However, the bank is unable to distinguish between low and high-risk borrowers, i.e. it doesn't have an appropriate screening technology. Consider a bank which operates as a monopoly and wants to attract both types of borrowers in the first period.
A bank faces a pool of high and low risk borrowers with measure one in two successive periods. In each period, each borrower wishes to borrow 1 from the bank. A low-risk borrower's project returns G = 2 with probability pg = 0.8 and high- risk borrower's project yields B = 3 with probability p = 0.2 in each period. If a project is unsuccessful, it yields zero. The bank knows that the proportion of low-risk borrowers is y = 0.5. However, the bank is unable to distinguish between low and high-risk borrowers, i.e. it doesn't have an appropriate screening technology. Consider a bank which operates as a monopoly and wants to attract both types of borrowers in the first period.
Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
5th Edition
ISBN:9781337106665
Author:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Publisher:Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Chapter17: Making Decisions With Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 2MC
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Question
![=
A bank faces a pool of high and low risk borrowers with measure one in two successive periods. In each period, each
borrower wishes to borrow 1 from the bank. A low-risk borrower's project returns G = 2 with probability pg 0.8 and high-
risk borrower's project yields B : 3 with probability pb = 0.2 in each period. If a project is unsuccessful, it yields zero. The
bank knows that the proportion of low-risk borrowers is y 0.5. However, the bank is unable to distinguish between low
and high-risk borrowers, i.e. it doesn't have an appropriate screening technology.
=
Question 1
Consider a bank which operates as a monopoly and wants to attract both types of borrowers in the first period.
What's the repayment R(¹) that the bank will charge in the first period? Compute the bank's first period profit
π(1)
i.
ii.
Calculate the posterior probabilities of a borrower being low risk given that the project was successful and also
when the project failed after the first period (i.e. Pr(G|S), Pr(G|F), respectively).
iii.
How much will the bank charge to successful and failed borrowers in the second period (R3), R)? Calculate
the bank's second period profit (²). What's the total profit across the two periods ((1) +ñ π(²))?](/v2/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcontent.bartleby.com%2Fqna-images%2Fquestion%2Fa39caf38-d61c-4375-8054-c7cba1261cad%2F6fa7734a-a739-4520-b5bf-9b8c7b2f4d73%2F0ltikwm_processed.png&w=3840&q=75)
Transcribed Image Text:=
A bank faces a pool of high and low risk borrowers with measure one in two successive periods. In each period, each
borrower wishes to borrow 1 from the bank. A low-risk borrower's project returns G = 2 with probability pg 0.8 and high-
risk borrower's project yields B : 3 with probability pb = 0.2 in each period. If a project is unsuccessful, it yields zero. The
bank knows that the proportion of low-risk borrowers is y 0.5. However, the bank is unable to distinguish between low
and high-risk borrowers, i.e. it doesn't have an appropriate screening technology.
=
Question 1
Consider a bank which operates as a monopoly and wants to attract both types of borrowers in the first period.
What's the repayment R(¹) that the bank will charge in the first period? Compute the bank's first period profit
π(1)
i.
ii.
Calculate the posterior probabilities of a borrower being low risk given that the project was successful and also
when the project failed after the first period (i.e. Pr(G|S), Pr(G|F), respectively).
iii.
How much will the bank charge to successful and failed borrowers in the second period (R3), R)? Calculate
the bank's second period profit (²). What's the total profit across the two periods ((1) +ñ π(²))?
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