54 54 56 58 58 59 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 61 61 61 61 61 61 61 61 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 66 66 66 67 67 67 67 68 68 70.   14.46) Table 14.1 provides the heights of a random sample of 93 female undergraduate students at the university of California at Irvine. Assuming that heights in this undergraduate population are normal with standar deviation o= 2.5 inches, do the data provide evidence that the mean height of all female undergraduate students at

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Table 14.1 

 

54 54 56 58 58 59 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 61 61 61 61 61 61 61 61 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 63 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 66 66 66 67 67 67 67 68 68 70.

 

14.46) Table 14.1 provides the heights of a random sample of 93 female undergraduate students at the university of California at Irvine. Assuming that heights in this undergraduate population are normal with standar deviation o= 2.5 inches, do the data provide evidence that the mean height of all female undergraduate students at UC-Irvine is different from the mean height of 64.5 inches of all young women in the United States? Follow the four-step process as ilustatrated in Example 14.9. 

this setting.
quoted value a paper in by Carl
STATE: you the for what or healthy
P-value in mind that tables can offer only P-values).
cedures, the the area or areas under
Fahrenheit or 37.0 Celsius, is widely
body you will that an oral of 98.6 degrees
printed such as B or C at back of the book to obtain the test
it the use an applet for computations or a
de not have access to technology capable of pertorming inference pro-
If yo ketch the Normal sampling distribution and the area or areas under
no J
printed keep in mind that printed tables can offer only approximate P-values).
Body temperature
EXAMPLE 14.9
ATE: When you search the internet for what constitutes "normal" or healthy
udy temperature, you will probably find that an oral temperature of 98.6 degrees
brenheit (°F), or 37.0 degrees Celsius, is considered normal. This widely
oted value comes from a paper published in 1868 by German physician Carl
Wanderlich, in which he reported more than a million body temperature read-
s In this paper, Wunderlich stated that the mean body temperature of healthy
adults is 98.6 °F. More than a century later, a study was designed to evaluate this
claim. It found a mean oral temperature of x=98.25 °F from 130 adults. Does
this study provide significant evidence that Wunderlich's claim of a mean adult
STEP
рaper,
body temperature of 98.6 °F is not correct?
PLAN: The null hypothesis is "no difference" from the accepted mean
Ou,
un = 98.6 °F. The alternative is two-sided because the study did not have a
%3D
Transcribed Image Text:this setting. quoted value a paper in by Carl STATE: you the for what or healthy P-value in mind that tables can offer only P-values). cedures, the the area or areas under Fahrenheit or 37.0 Celsius, is widely body you will that an oral of 98.6 degrees printed such as B or C at back of the book to obtain the test it the use an applet for computations or a de not have access to technology capable of pertorming inference pro- If yo ketch the Normal sampling distribution and the area or areas under no J printed keep in mind that printed tables can offer only approximate P-values). Body temperature EXAMPLE 14.9 ATE: When you search the internet for what constitutes "normal" or healthy udy temperature, you will probably find that an oral temperature of 98.6 degrees brenheit (°F), or 37.0 degrees Celsius, is considered normal. This widely oted value comes from a paper published in 1868 by German physician Carl Wanderlich, in which he reported more than a million body temperature read- s In this paper, Wunderlich stated that the mean body temperature of healthy adults is 98.6 °F. More than a century later, a study was designed to evaluate this claim. It found a mean oral temperature of x=98.25 °F from 130 adults. Does this study provide significant evidence that Wunderlich's claim of a mean adult STEP рaper, body temperature of 98.6 °F is not correct? PLAN: The null hypothesis is "no difference" from the accepted mean Ou, un = 98.6 °F. The alternative is two-sided because the study did not have a %3D
particular in mind the data. Thus, the hypotheses
SOLVE: Check the for are the conditions"
INTRODUCTION TO INFERENCE
about the unknown mean u of the population of healthy adults are
Ho: u = 98.6
= nl
Ha: µ #98.6
SOLVE: Check the conditions for inference. Here are the "simple condition
stated on page 348.
1. SRS: The most important condition is that the 130 healthy adults in the
ple are an SRS from the population of all healthy adults. We should check thi,
requirement by asking how the data were obtained. The researchers measured
the baseline oral temperature of volunteers participating in various vaccine
clinical trials conducted at the University of Maryland. If these individuals
enrolled in the clinical trial because of a specific medical concern, for exam-
ple, the data may not be representative of the whole healthy-adult population
and could be biased. The researchers assure us that the volunteers were all
healthy. Because the subjects were volunteers, the sample is a random sample
but not a true SRS. This is very common in the life sciences, especially when
dealing with human subjects.
-wes
2. Normal distribution: We should examine the distribution of the 130 obser-
vations to look for signs that the population distribution is not Normal.
A histogram in the published report indicates that the data were roughly
Normal.
3. Known o: It is unrealistic to suppose that we know that o = 0.6 °F. This
value is based on Wunderlich's original report of a very large number of body
%3D
temperatures.
SOLVE: Obtain the test statistic and P-value. Figure 14.8 shows the output for a
one-sample z test using statistical software JMP. It gives z= -6.651 and a Pvale
rounded to zero, based on which the output specifies that we should "reject the
null hypothesis."
CONCLUDE: If u really was 98.6 °F, it would be nearly impossible to obta os
obtain an
SRS of size 130 from the healthy adult population with sample mean at fore
very strong evidence that the true mean body temperature of healthy aduis o
98.6 °F.
JMP
Transcribed Image Text:particular in mind the data. Thus, the hypotheses SOLVE: Check the for are the conditions" INTRODUCTION TO INFERENCE about the unknown mean u of the population of healthy adults are Ho: u = 98.6 = nl Ha: µ #98.6 SOLVE: Check the conditions for inference. Here are the "simple condition stated on page 348. 1. SRS: The most important condition is that the 130 healthy adults in the ple are an SRS from the population of all healthy adults. We should check thi, requirement by asking how the data were obtained. The researchers measured the baseline oral temperature of volunteers participating in various vaccine clinical trials conducted at the University of Maryland. If these individuals enrolled in the clinical trial because of a specific medical concern, for exam- ple, the data may not be representative of the whole healthy-adult population and could be biased. The researchers assure us that the volunteers were all healthy. Because the subjects were volunteers, the sample is a random sample but not a true SRS. This is very common in the life sciences, especially when dealing with human subjects. -wes 2. Normal distribution: We should examine the distribution of the 130 obser- vations to look for signs that the population distribution is not Normal. A histogram in the published report indicates that the data were roughly Normal. 3. Known o: It is unrealistic to suppose that we know that o = 0.6 °F. This value is based on Wunderlich's original report of a very large number of body %3D temperatures. SOLVE: Obtain the test statistic and P-value. Figure 14.8 shows the output for a one-sample z test using statistical software JMP. It gives z= -6.651 and a Pvale rounded to zero, based on which the output specifies that we should "reject the null hypothesis." CONCLUDE: If u really was 98.6 °F, it would be nearly impossible to obta os obtain an SRS of size 130 from the healthy adult population with sample mean at fore very strong evidence that the true mean body temperature of healthy aduis o 98.6 °F. JMP
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Claim : The mean height of all female undergraduate students at UC-Irvine is different from the mean height of 64.5 inches of all young women in the United States. 

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