5. Suppose that you know that your friend was born sometime in the year 2001, but not which day. Given this state of ignorance, we can model your friend's birthday as being chosen uniformly at random from the 365 days of a non-leap year. (In reality, these are not entirely uniform, but they're pretty close, and we can ignore this effect.) (a) What is the probability that your friend was born in January? (b) Suppose you remember that your friend's birthday is on the 20th (of some month) Conditioned on this fact, what is the probability that your friend was born in January? (c) Now suppose you remember that your friend's birthday is on the 30th (of soe month) Conditioned on this fact, what is the probability that your friend was born in January?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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5. Suppose that you know that your friend was born sometime in the year 2001, but not which
day. Given this state of ignorance, we can model your friend's birthday as being chosen
uniformly at random from the 365 days of a non-leap year. (In reality, these are not entirely
uniform, but they're pretty close, and we can ignore this effect.)
(a) What is the probability that your friend was born in January?
(b) Suppose you remember that your friend's birthday is on the 20th (of some month).
Conditioned on this fact, what is the probability that your friend was born in January?
(c) Now suppose you remember that your friend's birthday is on the 30th (of soe month).
Conditioned on this fact, what is the probability that your friend was born in January?
Transcribed Image Text:5. Suppose that you know that your friend was born sometime in the year 2001, but not which day. Given this state of ignorance, we can model your friend's birthday as being chosen uniformly at random from the 365 days of a non-leap year. (In reality, these are not entirely uniform, but they're pretty close, and we can ignore this effect.) (a) What is the probability that your friend was born in January? (b) Suppose you remember that your friend's birthday is on the 20th (of some month). Conditioned on this fact, what is the probability that your friend was born in January? (c) Now suppose you remember that your friend's birthday is on the 30th (of soe month). Conditioned on this fact, what is the probability that your friend was born in January?
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