Homework Help is Here – Start Your Trial Now!
Math
Statistics
e. Use an ARIMA model to forecast CPI, then use these to forecast the (non-adjusted) takings for Victoria until the end of 2017. Hint: You will have to use the new_data argument to forecast(). f. What sources of uncertainty have not been taken into account in the prediction intervals? 4. Dynamic regression (adapted from Q10.4 in Hyndman & Athanasopoulos) This exercise concerns aus_accommodation: the total quarterly takings from accommodation and the room occupancy level for hotels, motels, and guest houses in Australia, between January 1998 and June 2016. Total quarterly takings are in millions of Australian dollars. a. Perform inflation adjustment for Takings (using the CPI column), creating a new column in the tsibble called Adj Takings. b. For each state, fit a dynamic regression model of Adj Takings with seasonal dummy variables, a piecewise linear time trend with one knot at 2008 Q1, and ARIMA errors. c. What model was fitted for the state of Victoria? Does the time series exhibit constant seasonality? d. Check that the residuals of the model in c) look like white noise.

e. Use an ARIMA model to forecast CPI, then use these to forecast the (non-adjusted) takings for Victoria until the end of 2017. Hint: You will have to use the new_data argument to forecast(). f. What sources of uncertainty have not been taken into account in the prediction intervals? 4. Dynamic regression (adapted from Q10.4 in Hyndman & Athanasopoulos) This exercise concerns aus_accommodation: the total quarterly takings from accommodation and the room occupancy level for hotels, motels, and guest houses in Australia, between January 1998 and June 2016. Total quarterly takings are in millions of Australian dollars. a. Perform inflation adjustment for Takings (using the CPI column), creating a new column in the tsibble called Adj Takings. b. For each state, fit a dynamic regression model of Adj Takings with seasonal dummy variables, a piecewise linear time trend with one knot at 2008 Q1, and ARIMA errors. c. What model was fitted for the state of Victoria? Does the time series exhibit constant seasonality? d. Check that the residuals of the model in c) look like white noise.

College Algebra (MindTap Course List)
College Algebra (MindTap Course List)
12th Edition
ISBN:9781305652231
Author:R. David Gustafson, Jeff Hughes
Publisher:R. David Gustafson, Jeff Hughes
Chapter4: Polynomial And Rational Functions
Section4.6: Rational Functions
Problem 11SC: Find the mean hourly cost when the cell phone described above is used for 240 minutes.
See similar textbooks
icon
Related questions
Question
e. Use an ARIMA model to forecast CPI, then use these to forecast the (non-adjusted) takings for Victoria until the end of 2017. Hint: You will have to use the new_data argument to forecast(). f. What sources of uncertainty have not been taken into account in the prediction intervals?
Transcribed Image Text:e. Use an ARIMA model to forecast CPI, then use these to forecast the (non-adjusted) takings for Victoria until the end of 2017. Hint: You will have to use the new_data argument to forecast(). f. What sources of uncertainty have not been taken into account in the prediction intervals?
4. Dynamic regression (adapted from Q10.4 in Hyndman & Athanasopoulos) This exercise concerns aus_accommodation: the total quarterly takings from accommodation and the room occupancy level for hotels, motels, and guest houses in Australia, between January 1998 and June 2016. Total quarterly takings are in millions of Australian dollars. a. Perform inflation adjustment for Takings (using the CPI column), creating a new column in the tsibble called Adj Takings. b. For each state, fit a dynamic regression model of Adj Takings with seasonal dummy variables, a piecewise linear time trend with one knot at 2008 Q1, and ARIMA errors. c. What model was fitted for the state of Victoria? Does the time series exhibit constant seasonality? d. Check that the residuals of the model in c) look like white noise.
Transcribed Image Text:4. Dynamic regression (adapted from Q10.4 in Hyndman & Athanasopoulos) This exercise concerns aus_accommodation: the total quarterly takings from accommodation and the room occupancy level for hotels, motels, and guest houses in Australia, between January 1998 and June 2016. Total quarterly takings are in millions of Australian dollars. a. Perform inflation adjustment for Takings (using the CPI column), creating a new column in the tsibble called Adj Takings. b. For each state, fit a dynamic regression model of Adj Takings with seasonal dummy variables, a piecewise linear time trend with one knot at 2008 Q1, and ARIMA errors. c. What model was fitted for the state of Victoria? Does the time series exhibit constant seasonality? d. Check that the residuals of the model in c) look like white noise.
Expert Solution
steps

Step by step

Solved in 2 steps with 5 images

SEE SOLUTIONCheck out a sample Q&A here
Blurred answer
Similar questions
  • SEE MORE QUESTIONS
Recommended textbooks for you
College Algebra (MindTap Course List)
College Algebra (MindTap Course List)
Algebra
ISBN:
9781305652231
Author:
R. David Gustafson, Jeff Hughes
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897…
Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897…
Algebra
ISBN:
9780079039897
Author:
Carter
Publisher:
McGraw Hill
Big Ideas Math A Bridge To Success Algebra 1: Stu…
Big Ideas Math A Bridge To Success Algebra 1: Stu…
Algebra
ISBN:
9781680331141
Author:
HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT
Publisher:
Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
College Algebra
College Algebra
Algebra
ISBN:
9781938168383
Author:
Jay Abramson
Publisher:
OpenStax
SEE MORE TEXTBOOKS