36. A manager has developed a table that shows payoffs for a future store. The payoffs depend onthe size of the store and the strength of demand (in thousands):Store sizeDemandLowHighSmallLarge1,5002,5005004,000The manager estimates that the probability of low demand is 0.50, and the probability of highdemand is 0.50. The manager could request that a local research firm conduct a survey (cost:100,000) that could better indicate whether demand will be low or high. In discussion with theresearch firm, the manager has learned the following about the reliability of surveys conductedby the firm:Survey showedActual results wasHigh0.30LowLow0.90High0.100.70a. If the manager should decide to use the survey, what would the revised probabilities be fordemand, and what probabilities should be used for survey results?b. Construct a tree diagram for this problemc. Would you recommend that the manager use the survey ?

Decision-making under risk is a probabilistic decision situation in which more than one state of…

Answered: 36. A manager has developed a table…

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)

10th Edition

ISBN:9780134753119

Author:Sheldon Ross

Publisher:Sheldon Ross

Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...

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The fitted line that results from regressions of the Single Index Model is called:a. The security specific line.b. The security characteristic line.c. The single index line.d. The security market line.
B. A manufacturing company is analyzing its accident record. The accidents fall into two categories: ➤Minor-dealt with by first aider: Average cost k50 Major-hospital required. Average cost k1,000 The company has 1,000 employees, of which 180 are office staff and the rest work in the factory. The analysis shows that 10% of employees have an accident each year and 20% of accidents are major. It is assumed that an employee has more than one accident in a year. (i) Determine the expected total cost of accidents in a year. On further analysis it is discovered that a member of office staff has half the probability of having an accident relative those in the factory. (ii) Show that the probability that a given a member of office staff has an accident in a year is 0.0549. (iii) Determine the probability that a randomly chosen employee who has had an accident is office staff.
Needs Complete solution with 100 % accuracy.
V3
Urgent Care is organized in to 4 department: Registration (Reg), Waiting (Wait), Treatment (Treat), and Payment & Check Out (PCO). For all patients who receive treatment at the Urgent Care, the expected time (in minutes) per patient needed in each of the departments: Reg. Wait. Treatment PCO 10 15 30 3 or 2 All patients enter and register at the registration cubicle. After registering, 10% of the patients walk out without waiting and seeing the physician for treatment. However, still they have to walk through the PCO & return the admissions slip. These patients need only 2 min at PCO (instead of 3 min). No waiting and treatment time for patients who walk out. Simulate the total time spent in the Urgent care for the first patient. Total time spent by Patient 1 at the Urgent Care is . RN: 0.05 Hint: Need to check (simulate) whether a patient, after registering( 10 min), walks out or not. O 2 min O 12 min O 10 min O None of these
Create a decision three that would help the best decision for the company.
1. Suppose that you estimate a model of house prices to determine the impact of having beach frontage on the value of a house.14 You do some research, and you decide to use the size of the lot instead of the size of the house for a number of theoretical and data availability rea- sons. Your results (standard errors in parentheses) are: PRICE; = 40 + 35.0 LOT¡ – 2.0 AGE; + 10.0 BED; – 4.0 FIRE; (1.0) (5.0) (10.0) (4.0) (10) N = 30 R2 =.63 where: PRICE¡ =the price of the th house (in thousands of dollars) =the size of the lot of the th house (in thousands of square feet) = the age of the th house in years =the number of bedrooms in the th house =a qualitative/dummy variable for a fireplace (1 = yes for the th house) LOT; AGE; BED; FIRE; a. You expect the variables LOT and BED to have positive coefficients. Create and test the appropriate hypotheses to evaluate these expectations at the 5-percent level. b. You expect AGE to have a negative coefficient. Create and test the appropriate…
(b) Table 1 shows consumables usage data from a leading manufacturer. Forecast the demand for August, September and October using: i) a three-month moving average ii) a four-month weighted moving average using 50 percent of the actual usage for the most recent month, 20 percent of two months ago, 15 percent of three months ago and 15 percent of four months ago. Using an example, explain what are the benefits of using the weighted moving average method of forecasting instead? Month February 2023 March 2023 April 2023 May 2023 June 2023 July 2023 Consumables Used 884 892 972 990 956 880
B. A manufacturing company is analyzing its accident record. The accidents fall into two categories: ➤Minor-dealt with by first aider: Average cost k50 Major-hospital required. Average cost k1,000 The company has 1,000 employees, of which 180 are office staff and the rest work in the factory. The analysis shows that 10% of employees have an accident each year and 20% of accidents are major. It is assumed that an employee has more than one accident in a year. (i) Determine the expected total cost of accidents in a year. On further analysis it is discovered that a member of office staff has half the probability of having an accident relative those in the factory. (ii) Show that the probability that a given a member of office staff has an accident in a year is 0.0549. (iii) Determine the probability that a randomly chosen employee who has had an accident is office staff.
3. Scenario It is believed that large doses of acetaminophen (the active ingredient in over the counter pain relievers like Tylenol) may cause damage to the liver in nearly half of those tested. A researcher wants to conduct a study to estimate if the proportion of acetaminophen users who have liver damage is the same as previously reported. For participating in this study, he will pay each subject $20 and provide a free medical consultation if the patient has liver damage. Part A If he wants to limit the margin of error of his 98% conﬁdence interval to 2%, what is the minimum number of subjects he needs? (answer should be in the form of x,xxx) the minimum amount of money he needs to set aside to pay his subjects? $ (answer should be in the form of $xx,xxx) Part B The amount you calculated in Part A is substantially over his budget so he decides to use fewer subjects. Will this change increase or decrease the width of his conﬁdence interval? Will this new confidence interval be…

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