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- Please can I have help with Part DA stock index consists of businesses in both Europe and the United States. Assume that each business comprising the stock index makes a profit or loss independently of the other businesses in the index. Suppose that an American business on the stock index makes a profit 60%60% of the time and a European business makes a profit 80%80% of the time. If there are 840 American businesses and 720 European businesses in the stock index, what is the expected number of businesses in the stock index to make a profit?Show that the multiplication law P(AB) = P(A/B) P(B), established for two events, may be generalized to three events as foilows; %3D P(AOBOC) = P(A/BC) P(B/C) P(C)
- You are one space short of winning a baord game and must roll a 1 on a die to claim victory. You want to know how many rolls it might take. How would you simulate rolling the die until you get a 1?(Devore: Section 3.2 #15) Many manufacturers have quality control programs that include inspec- tion of incoming materials for defects. Suppose a computer manufacturer receives circuit boards in batches of five. Two boards are selected from each batch of inspection. We can represent possible outcomes of the selection process by pairs. For example, the pair (1,2) represents the selection of boards 1 and 2 for inspection. (a) List the ten different possible outcomes. (b) Suppose that boards 1 and 2 are the only defective boards in a batch. Two boards are to be chosen at random. Define X to be the number of defective boards observed among those inspected. Find the probability distribution (pmf) of X. (c) Let F denote the cdf of X. Determine F(0), F(1) and F(2); then obtain F(x) for all other x.Search Chapter-17 6. Seatbelts. Suppose 75% of all drivers always wear their seatbelts. Let's investigate how many of the drivers might be belted among five cars waiting at a traffic light. a) Describe how you would simulate the number of seatbelt-wearing drivers among the five cars. b) Run at least 30 trials. c) Based on your simulation, estimate the probabilities there are no belted drivers, exactly one, two, etc. d) Find the actual probability model. e) Compare the distribution of outcomes in your simula- tion to the probability model. REDMI NOTE 9 88 AI QUAD CAMERA
- Assume the chances of failure of each component is given in Figure. What is the probability that the system would not work? .A.Explain the five application of simulation B.Discuss the procedure for Monte Carlo simulationSuppose I flip a fair coin n = 20 times. A psychic tries to predict the outcome before each flip. Three researchers have different ideas about the psychic's ability. There is Sydney, the Skeptic (S), who thinks the psychic's success rate is between 49% and 51%. There is Morgan, the Mark, M, who thinks that the psychic's success rate is 80%. And there is Carter, the Cynic (C), who thinks the psychic's success rate is 10%. Specifically: S+ 0 ~ U(.49, .51) M + 0 = .80 C0 = .10 %3D In all cases, assume the number of successful predictions follows a binomial distribution with success rate 0. Usek for the number of successes and n for the number of trials. Given all that: Determine the formula for the Bayes factor (a.k.a., likelihood ratio) supporting Carter over Morgan. Call that Bayes factor Bc:M Determine the formula for the Bayes factor (a.k.a., likelihood ratio) supporting Morgan over Sydney. Call that Bayes factor BM:S Determine the formula for the Bayes factor (a.k.a., likelihood…
- Suppose you are playing a game of Yahtzee. You know that you play with 5 dice, each with 6 sides. Since the dice are all rolled at the same time, let the roll (5, 4, 3, 2, 1) to be equal to (2, 4, 5, 1, 3). Assume for this question that we will only be rolling the dice once. (i) How many ways can you roll all the dice? (ii) To win 50 points you would need all the dice to roll the same number (ex. (1, 1, 1, 1, 1)). How many ways can you win the 50 points? (iii) Suppose you are trying to get your dice to roll only consecutive numbers (ex. (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) or (2, 3, 4, 5, 6)) How many different ways are there to do this? (iv) Suppose instead you are trying to get your dice to roll 4 consecutive numbers (ex. (1, 2, 3, 4, 1) or (2, 3, 4, 5, 3)) How many different ways are there to do this? (make sure to not count any only consecutive numbers) This is a combinatorics math counting problem.A small ice cream parlor has had great success over the past several years and is interested in expanding into handmade chocolate candies. A poll of 56 randomly selected customers was asked if they would purchase these chocolate candies. Forty of the customers indicated that they would. Customers Stottetomers wto would nan eturer. d. The ice cream parlor needs at least 85% of its customers to purchase handmade chocolate candies to make this expansion profitable. Does it appear as if the expansion into handmade chocolate candies will be profitable? Explain.(a) In an experiment, a pair of dice (green and blue) are tossed and the numbers that come up are recorded. Assume that the first outcome is for the green die whereas the second outcome is for the blue die. (i) List the sample space S; (ii) List the elements for event X = {sum is greater than 8}; (iii) List the elements for event Y = {2 occurs on either die or both}; (iv) List the elements for event Z= {number greater than 4 comes up on the green die}; (v) List the elements corresponding to the event X Z; (vi) List the elements corresponding to the event Y N Z;