28. Suppose that whether it rains in Charlotte tomorrow depends on the weather conditions for today and yesterday. Climate data from 2003 show that • If it rained yesterday and today, then it will rain tomorrow with probability 58. • If it rained yesterday but not today, then it will rain tomorrow with probability 29. • If it rained today but not yesterday, then it will rain tomorrow with probability 47. • If it did not rain yesterday or today, then it will rain tomorrow with probability 31. Even though the weather depends on the last two days in this case, we can create a Markov chain model using the states I it rained yesterday and today 2 it rained yesterday but not today 3 it rained today but not yesterday 4 it did not rain yesterday or today So, for example, the probability of a transition from state I to state 1 is .58, and the transition from state 1 to state 3 is 0. a. Complete the creation of the transition matrix for this Markov chain. b. If it rains on Tuesday and is clear on Wednesday, what is the probability of no rain on the next weekend?
28. Suppose that whether it rains in Charlotte tomorrow depends on the weather conditions for today and yesterday. Climate data from 2003 show that • If it rained yesterday and today, then it will rain tomorrow with probability 58. • If it rained yesterday but not today, then it will rain tomorrow with probability 29. • If it rained today but not yesterday, then it will rain tomorrow with probability 47. • If it did not rain yesterday or today, then it will rain tomorrow with probability 31. Even though the weather depends on the last two days in this case, we can create a Markov chain model using the states I it rained yesterday and today 2 it rained yesterday but not today 3 it rained today but not yesterday 4 it did not rain yesterday or today So, for example, the probability of a transition from state I to state 1 is .58, and the transition from state 1 to state 3 is 0. a. Complete the creation of the transition matrix for this Markov chain. b. If it rains on Tuesday and is clear on Wednesday, what is the probability of no rain on the next weekend?
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
Related questions
Question
Suppose that the weather in Charlotte is modeled using the
Markov chain in the attached picture. About how many
days elapse in Charlotte between consecutive rainy days?
Expert Solution
This question has been solved!
Explore an expertly crafted, step-by-step solution for a thorough understanding of key concepts.
This is a popular solution!
Trending now
This is a popular solution!
Step by step
Solved in 4 steps with 4 images
Recommended textbooks for you
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
Probability
ISBN:
9780134753119
Author:
Sheldon Ross
Publisher:
PEARSON
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
Probability
ISBN:
9780134753119
Author:
Sheldon Ross
Publisher:
PEARSON