2. Let the following lotteries: L has prizes (0, 2, 4, 6) with equal probabilities. L' has prizes (0.1, 3, 5.9) with equal probabilities. (a) Compute the expected values of the two lotteries and verify they are the same. (b) Compute the variances of the two lotteries and verify that the second lottery has a bigger variance. (c) One would be tempted to conclude that L second order stochastically dominates L', that is, any risk averse decision maker would prefer L over L'. Not true, unfor- tunately. Consider a decision maker with the following Bernoulli utility function u(x) = = 2x 3+x if x ≤ 3 if x > 3 Verify that the decision maker is risk averse and that the decision maker prefers L' over L.

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2. Let the following lotteries: L has prizes (0, 2, 4, 6) with equal probabilities. L' has prizes
(0.1, 3, 5.9) with equal probabilities.
(a) Compute the expected values of the two lotteries and verify they are the same.
(b) Compute the variances of the two lotteries and verify that the second lottery has a
bigger variance.
(c) One would be tempted to conclude that L second order stochastically dominates
L', that is, any risk averse decision maker would prefer L over L'. Not true, unfor-
tunately. Consider a decision maker with the following Bernoulli utility function
u(x) =
2x
3 + x
if x ≤ 3
if x > 3
Verify that the decision maker is risk averse and that the decision maker prefers L'
over L.
Transcribed Image Text:2. Let the following lotteries: L has prizes (0, 2, 4, 6) with equal probabilities. L' has prizes (0.1, 3, 5.9) with equal probabilities. (a) Compute the expected values of the two lotteries and verify they are the same. (b) Compute the variances of the two lotteries and verify that the second lottery has a bigger variance. (c) One would be tempted to conclude that L second order stochastically dominates L', that is, any risk averse decision maker would prefer L over L'. Not true, unfor- tunately. Consider a decision maker with the following Bernoulli utility function u(x) = 2x 3 + x if x ≤ 3 if x > 3 Verify that the decision maker is risk averse and that the decision maker prefers L' over L.
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