2. In year 1, the yield on 1-year T-bills is 1%, and on 10-year T-bond is 5%. In year 2, 1-year yield becomes 1.5%, and 10-year yield becomes 8.5%. 1. In year 2, does the market expect future short-term interest rate to rise or fall, compared with year 1? Why? Explain carefully. 2. Has the probability of a recession risen or decreased?

2. In year 1, the yield on 1-year T-bills is 1%, and on 10-year T-bond is 5%. In year 2, 1-year yield becomes 1.5%, and 10-year yield becomes 8.5%. 1. In year 2, does the market expect future short-term interest rate to rise or fall, compared with year 1? Why? Explain carefully. 2. Has the probability of a recession risen or decreased?

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

14th Edition

ISBN:9780190931919

Author:NEWNAN

Publisher:NEWNAN

Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1QTC

See similar textbooks

Similar questions

From the end of 2009 to the end of 2019, the size of the United States National Debt held by the public grew from $6.8 trillion to $17.2 trillion. During the same period, the 10 year US Treasury Bond yield to maturity fell from 3.59% in December 2009 to 1.86% in December of 2019. Explain how such an increase in the supply of government bonds can lead to a fall in the interest rate. Second, consider that the 10 year bond rate has fallen further in 2020 to 0.68 percent on October 1, despite a further increase in the national debt ($20.5 trillion as of June 30, 2020) due to the decline in the economy and increase in federal government spending. Why has this continued in 2020 during an economic crisis?
IV. Compute the two-year nominal interest rate using the exact formula and the approximation formula for each set of assumptions listed in (a) through (c). a. i = 2%; if+1 = 3% b. i = 2%; i+1 = 10% c. i = 2%; i+1= 3%. The term premium on a two-year bond is 1%. %3D
Suppose a bond with no expiration date has a face value of $10,000 and annually pays a fixed amount of interest of $750. a. In the table provided below, calculate and enter either the interest rate that the bond would yield to a bond buyer at each of the bond prices listed or the bond price at each of the interest yields shown. Instructions: Enter your answers in the gray-shaded cells. For bond prices, round your answers to the nearest hundred dollars. For interest yields, round your answers to 2 decimal places. Bond Price $ 8,500 $ 10,500 $ 11,500 Interest Yield, % 7.89 5.56 b. What generalization can you draw from the completed table? O Bond prices and interest rates are not related. O There is insufficient data to make a generalization. O Bond prices and interest rates are directly related. O Bond prices and interest rates are inversely related.
5. Suppose that asset returns satisfy this Euler equation: 1 E,0.96(1+r) C2 1 C1 where r denotes the real return from period 1 to period 2 and C is real consumption in the world. Suppose that C1 with probability 0.5. = 1 and that C2 can take on two values, 1.00 and 1.04, each (a) Solve for the world real interest rate, on a one-period, real, discount bond that is free of default risk. (b) Now suppose there is inflation, with Pı interest rate on a one-period, nominal discount bond that is free of default risk. = 1 and P, = 1.04. Solve for the nominal (c) Now imagine an emerging market debt issuer, whose nominal discount bonds pay 1 with probability 1 – A and 0.8 with probability A. Will this debt have a higher expected, real return than the asset you studied above?
.An investor invests $2,600 in a company at a steady annual interest yield of 4.99 percent. She earns $390 profit in year 1, earns $467 profit in year 2, and earns $285 profit in year 3. Find the Present Value of this investment asset flow.
Which of the following are yield curves NOT used for? a.Explaining the relationship between inflation and interest rates. b.Forecasting future changes in economic activity. c.Forecasting future interest rates. d.Forecasting future rates of inflation. e.Explaining how investors prefer less liquidity to more liquidity.
Suppose that the government puts out a tax incentive that encourage people to save more money. Assume that this does not lead to a change in Y* or G, but does lead to a decrease in Consumption. 7. What would we expect to happen to interest rates? Explain your answer. 8. Would this change in interest rates increase or decrease the present value (PV) of the investment that this question is considering? Explain your answer.
Do not give directly answers explain properly Fill the blanks. A bond is a legal promise to repay a debt. Each bond specifies -(), the amount originally lent, -(), the date when the principal amount will be repaid -(), the periodic interest payments to the bondholder -(), the interest rate that is applied to the principal to determine the coupon payments. its macroeconomics subject ECO202
The table below shows current and expected future one-year interest rates, as well as current interest rates on multiyear bonds. Use the table to calculate the liquidity premium for each multiyear bond. One-Year Bond Rate 2.00% 5.00% 8.00% 11.00% 13.00% The liquidity premiums for each year are given as: (Enter your responses rounded to two decimal places.) 131 = = 151 = % % % % Year 1 2345 2 Multiyear Bond Rate 2.00% 5.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00%
The real risk-free rate is 2.1%. Inflation is expected to be 2.35% this year, 4.45% next year, and then 2.75% thereafter. The maturity risk premium is estimated to be 0.05(t- 1)%, where t-number of years to maturity. What is the yield on a 7-year Treasury note? Round your answer to two decimal places.
If interest rates fall after a bond issue, the bond’s price will _____. This change will be more noticeable for _________ bonds. a. decrease ... long-term b. increase ... short-term c. decrease ... short-term d. increase ... long-term
Suppose you observe that short-term interest rates are higher than long-term interest rates. a. What expectations must people have regarding future interest rates? b. Why might the above relationship signal a recession? Why might it not? c. What will the yield curve for this problem look like? Q4 Why is the fact that stock prices follow a random walk a signal of stock market efficiency? What would have to be true if stock prices did not follow a random walk?