Answered: Suppose you observe that short-term…

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

14th Edition

ISBN:9780190931919

Author:NEWNAN

Publisher:NEWNAN

Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1QTC

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Suppose you observe that short-term interest rates are higher than long-term interest rates.

a. What expectations must people have regarding future interest rates?

b. Why might the above relationship signal a recession? Why might it not?

c. What will the yield curve for this problem look like?

Why is the fact that stock prices follow a random walk a signal of stock market efficiency? What would have to be true if stock prices did not follow a random walk?

Definition Definition Degree to which financial markets incorporate all available information into the prices of assets. In a more efficient market, the prices reflect the available information more than that in a weak efficient market. It is difficult for investors to outperform the market in a strong efficient market. This is because all the available information is already discounted in the asset's price. However, in a weak-form efficiency, the market does not reflect all information in the asset's price. As a result, it becomes easier to generate better returns in a weak form or an inefficient market.

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