Forecasters predict that the annual rate of inflation will continue to be 1.2% for the foreseeable future. The nominal interest rate of Treasury securities with different maturities is shown below: Maturity Nominal Rate of Return 2.2% 2.6% 3.2% 1 year 2 years 5 years 10 years 20 years 3.8% 4.5% a. Plot the yield curve using Excel b. What shape is the yield curve? What does it say about the future direction of interest rates under the expectations theory? c. Approximately what real interest rate do Treasury securities offer investors at each maturity? d. If the nominal rate of interest paid by every Treasury security above suddenly increased by 1.5%, without any change in inflationary expectations, what effect, if any, would it have on your answers to part c? Explain.

Forecasters predict that the annual rate of inflation will continue to be 1.2% for the foreseeable future. The nominal interest rate of Treasury securities with different maturities is shown below: Maturity Nominal Rate of Return 2.2% 2.6% 3.2% 1 year 2 years 5 years 10 years 20 years 3.8% 4.5% a. Plot the yield curve using Excel b. What shape is the yield curve? What does it say about the future direction of interest rates under the expectations theory? c. Approximately what real interest rate do Treasury securities offer investors at each maturity? d. If the nominal rate of interest paid by every Treasury security above suddenly increased by 1.5%, without any change in inflationary expectations, what effect, if any, would it have on your answers to part c? Explain.

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

14th Edition

ISBN:9780190931919

Author:NEWNAN

Publisher:NEWNAN

Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1QTC

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Question

1. Nominal Interest Rates/Yield Curves
Forecasters predict that the annual rate of inflation will
continue to be 1.2% for the foreseeable future. The nominal
interest rate of Treasury securities with different maturities is
shown below:
Maturity Nominal Rate of Return
2.2%
2.6%
3,2%
3.8%
4.5%
1 year
2 years
5 years
10 years
20 years
a. Plot the yield curve using Excel
b. What shape is the yield curve? What does it say about the
future direction of interest rates under the expectations
theory?
c. Approximately what real interest rate do Treasury securities
offer investors at each maturity?
d. If the nominal rate of interest paid by every Treasury
security above suddenly increased by 1.5%, without any
change in inflationary expectations, what effect, if any,
would it have on your answers to part c? Explain.

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