2) According to VAR regression results given below, what can you say about the nature of causality (Use 5 % level for significance)? Comment on the causal relationship between Y and X by justification. Use Granger Causality methodology to determine the validity of a causal relationship. Also, comment on why the Granger Causality test is appropriate for the table below to investigate the causal relationship between Y and X. Dependent Variable: Y Variable Lag Y 1 Y 2 X 1 X 2 0.083 Test for joint significance, Dependent Variable: Y Variable Significance Level 0.002 0.123 Y X Significance Level 0.002 0.009 0.012 Dependent Variable: X Variable Lag Significance Level X X Y Y 1 2 1 2 X Y Test for joint significance, Dependent Variable: X Variable Significance Level 0.012 0.056 0.087 0.045 0.046 0.458

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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2)According to VAR regression results given below, what can you say about the nature of causality
(Use 5 % level for significance)? Comment on the causal relationship between Y and X by
justification. Use Granger Causality methodology to determine the validity of a causal relationship.
Also, comment on why the Granger Causality test is appropriate for the table below to investigate
the causal relationship between Y and X.
Dependent Variable: Y
Variable
Lag
Y
1
Y
2
X
1
X
2
0.083
Test for joint significance, Dependent Variable: Y
Variable
Significance Level
0.002
0.123
Y
X
Significance Level
0.002
0.009
0.012
Dependent Variable: X
Variable Lag Significance Level
X
X
Y
Y
Test for joint significance, Dependent Variable: X
Variable Significance Level
1
2
1
2
X
Y
0.012
0.056
0.087
0.045
0.046
0.458
Transcribed Image Text:2)According to VAR regression results given below, what can you say about the nature of causality (Use 5 % level for significance)? Comment on the causal relationship between Y and X by justification. Use Granger Causality methodology to determine the validity of a causal relationship. Also, comment on why the Granger Causality test is appropriate for the table below to investigate the causal relationship between Y and X. Dependent Variable: Y Variable Lag Y 1 Y 2 X 1 X 2 0.083 Test for joint significance, Dependent Variable: Y Variable Significance Level 0.002 0.123 Y X Significance Level 0.002 0.009 0.012 Dependent Variable: X Variable Lag Significance Level X X Y Y Test for joint significance, Dependent Variable: X Variable Significance Level 1 2 1 2 X Y 0.012 0.056 0.087 0.045 0.046 0.458
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