10.2 - Key

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Apr 3, 2024

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The level of cholesterol in the blood for all men aged 20 to 34 follows a Normal distribution with mean 188 milligrams per deciliter ( mg / dl ) and standard deviation 41 mg/ dl . For 14 - year - old boys , blood cholesterol levels follow a Normal distribution with mean 170 mg / dl and standard deviation 30 mg / dl.Suppose we select independent SRSS of 25 men aged 20 to 34 and 36 boys aged 14 and calculate the sample mean cholesterol levels . What is the shape of the sampling distribution ? Why ? Approximately normal because both populations were stated to be normal . Find the mean of the sampling distribution . 18 = = μπιτ - μι - με 188 170 18 Find the standard deviation of the sampling distribution . 9.604 ( 01 ) 2 στι = + n1 ( 02 ) 2 N2 = ( 41 ) 2 ( 30 ) 2 V 25 + 36 = = 9.604 Observational studies suggest that moderate use of alcohol by adults reduces heart attacks and that red wine may have special benefits . One reason may be that red wine contains polyphenols , substances that do good things to cholesterol in the blood and so may reduce the risk of heart attacks . In an experiment , healthy men were assigned at random to drink half a bottle of either red or white wine each day for two weeks . The level of polyphenols in their blood was measured before and after the two - week period . Here are the percent changes in level for the subjects in both groups : Red wine : 3.5 8.1 7.4 4.0 0.7 4.9 8.4 7.0 5.5 White wine : 3.1 0.5 -3.8 4.1 -0.6 2.7 1.9 -5.9 0.1 Wine study Dot Plot G ro u p W
hi te R e d 0000000 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 Pctchange A Fathom dotplot of the data is shown . Write a few sentences comparing the distributions . ( CUSS and make sure to use comparative language ) For the white wine , the center of the polyphenol levels appears to be close to zero or one , while for the red wine it is much higher around 6 or 7. The white wine graph looks roughly symmetric , while the red wine graph is slightly skewed to the left . Neither graph has extreme outliers . The data for the white wine has a larger spread than the data for the red wine . Construct and interpret a 90% confidence interval for the difference in mean percent change in polyphenol levels for the red wine and white wine treatments . Be sure to go through all the steps ( PANIC ) . μ1 = true mean polyphenol level for healthy men who drink half a bottle of red wine a day μ2 = true mean polyphenol level for healthy men who drink half a bottle of white wine a day The men were randomly assigned to one of the two treatments , we are not sampling at random so we don't need to check the 10 % condition . Both samples are less than 30 , but the graphs do not show strong skewness or extreme outliers . All conditions for inference are met . Two sample t interval * 1 = 5.5 8x1 = = 2.517 n1 = 9 T2 = 0.233 X2 8x2 = 3.292 n2 = 9 To find t InvT area : 0.05 df : 8 t = 1.86 ( 1-2 ) ± t . ( Sz1 ) 2 ( ST2
) 2 + = ( 5.5 0.233 ) 1.86 · ( 2.517 ) 2 ( 3.292 ) 2 + n1 12 9 = ( 2.698 , 7.836 ) We are 90 % confident that the interval from 2.698 to 7.836 contains the true mean difference in polyphenol levels for healthy men who drink half a bottle of white wine a day and healthy men who drink half a bottle of red wine a day . This provides evidence that there is in fact a difference , since the interval does not contain zero . College financial aid offices expect students to use summer earnings to help pay for college . But how large are these earnings ? One large university studied this question by asking a random sample of 1296 students who had summer jobs how much they earned . The financial aid office separated the responses into two groups based on gender . Here are the data in summary form : Grou p n Males 675 $ 1884.52 Female s 621 S x $ 1368.3 7 $ 1360.39 $ 1037.46 How can you tell from the summary statistics that the distribution of earnings in each group is strongly skewed to the right ? Since income is not something that can be negative and two standard deviations below the mean would be a large negative number , the data cannot be normal . Therefore , they must be skewed right . The use of two - sample t procedures is still justified . Why ? Since both sample sizes are greater than 30 , we can still use two - sample t procedures because the CLT allows us to assume the sampling distribution will be approximately normal Construct and interpret a 90 % confidence interval for the difference between the mean summer earnings of male and female students at this university . Be sure to include all four steps ( State , Plan , Do , Conclude)
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μ1 = true mean earnings for males at the university μ2 = true mean earnings for females at the university The data came from two independent random samples , and both samples are less than 10 % of their respective populations ( 675 is less than 10 % of males at the university , and 621 is less than 10 % of females at the university ) . Both samples are larger than 30. All conditions for inference are met . Two sample t interval = 1 1884.52 Sal = 1368.37 n1 = 675 - X2 1360.39 = 8x2 1037.46 N2 = = 621 To find t InvT area : 0.05 t = 1.65 df : 620 ( T1 2 ) ± t . ( 831) 2 ( ST2 ) 2 + ግራ T - 2 = = ( 1884.521360.39 ) ± 1.65 · ( $ 413.36 , $ 634.90 ) (1368.37 ) 2 ( 1037.46 ) 2 + 675 621 We are 90 % confident that the interval from $ 413.36 to $ 634.90 contains the true differnece in earnings for males and females at this university . This provides evidence that there is a difference in earnings since zero is not in the interval . Researchers equipped random samples of 56 male and 56 female students from a large university with a small device that secretly records sound for a random 30
seconds during each 12.5 - minute period over two days . Then they counted the number of words spoken by each subject during each recording period and , from this , estimated how many words per day each subject speaks . The female estimates had a mean of 16,177 words per day with a standard deviation of 7520 words per day . For the male estimates , the mean was 16,569 and the standard deviation was 9108 . Do these data provide convincing evidence of a difference in the average number of words spoken in a day by male and female students at this university ? Conduct an appropriate hypthesis test to find out . μ1 = true mean words per day spoken by women μ2 = true mean words per day spoken by men Ho μ1 μ20 Ha μ1-20 The data come from two independent random samples , both of which are smaller than 10 % of their respective populations ( 56 males is less than 10 % of all males at the university , and 56 females is less than 10 % of all females at the university ) . Both samples are larger than 30. All conditions for inference are met . Two sample t test with α = 0.05 116177 8x1 = 7520 n1 = 56 x2 = 16569 t = n1 tcdf 12 Sx2 = 9108 ( 1-2) -(1-2 ) ( ^ = 1 ) 2 + ( x2) 2 n2 = 56 - ( 16177-16569 ) -0 = -0.248 75202 91082 56 56 lower : - 10000000
upper : 0.248 df : 55 P - value : 0.4032 0.806 ( multiply by 2 for two tailed test ) Since the p - value is larger than the significance level of 0.05 we fail to reject the null hypothesis . There is not convincing evidence that there is a difference in the mean words per day spoken by women and men . In a pilot study , a company's new cholesterol - reducing drug outperforms the currently available drug . If the data provide convincing evidence that the mean cholesterol reduction with the new drug is more than 10 milligrams per deciliter of blood ( mg / dl ) greater than with the current drug , the company will begin the expensive process of mass - producing the new drug . For the 14 subjects who were assigned at random to the current drug , the mean cholesterol reduction was 54.1 mg / dl with a standard deviation of 11.93 mg / dl . For the 15 subjects who were randomly assigned to the new drug , the mean cholesterol reduction was 68.7 mg / dl with a standard deviation of 13.3 mg / dl . Graphs of the data reveal no outliers or strong skewness . Carry out an appropriate significance test . What conclusion would you draw ? ( Note that the null hypothesis is not equal to zero ) μ ] = true mean mg / dl cholesterol reduction for patients on the new drug μ2 = true mean mg / dl cholesterol reduction for patients on the current drug Ho H1 H2 = 10 Ha 1-2 10 The subjects were randomly assigned to treatments , we were not sampling at random from a population so we don't need to check the 10 % condition . While both samples are less than 30 in size , the data did not show outliers or strong skewness , so all conditions for inference are met . Two sample t test with α = 0.05 x1 = 68.7 8x1 = 13.3 X254.1 t = tcdf = 5x2 = 11.93 (≈1- X2 ) ( μ1μ2 ) ( -1 ) 2 ( 6x2 ) 2 M1 lower : 0.982 + ng
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upper : 1000000 df : 13 = n1 = 15 n2 = 14 = 0.982 ( 68.7-54.1 ) -1 0 13.32 11.932 + 15 14 P - value : 0.172 Since the P - value is larger than the significance level , we fail to reject the null hypothesis . There is not convincing evidence that the true mean difference in cholesterol reduction in patients taking the new drug versus the old drug is more than 10 mg / dl . Based on your conclusion , could you have made a Type I error or a Type II error ? Justify your answer . We could have made a type two error if we failed to reject the null hypothesis when really the alternative is true . It could be that the new drug really does work better , but we didn't detect that . Multiple Choice