1308 SIP Activity 3-Analysis of Coin Spins-AOP jonathan

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Tarrant County College South East *

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1308

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Mathematics

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Feb 20, 2024

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Name: MATH 1308-088 Groupmates: _________________________________________________________________________ Single Coin Tosses Coin Toss Trials (Part 1) In this activity, each groupmate will either toss (spin) a coin or access the StatCrunch applet* to produce at least 3 trials of 10 tosses each . * StatCrunch applet is found via QUICK LINKS > MyLab StatCrunch > StatCrunch website > Interactive applets > Simulations > “Probability of a head with a fair coin.” Flip only 1 coin at a time and record results for 10 flips. Record your results and the results of your groupmates in the table below. As a group , record at least 12 trials of 10 tosses each. The exact sequence of heads and tails should be written in the Outcomes column. Trial # Contributor Name Outcomes (Head or Tail) No. of Heads 1 T H H H H H T T T H 6 2 T H H H H T T H H T 6 3 T T T T H H T T H H 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 After all data from the group are collected , make a histogram of the ‘Frequency of trials resulting in 16 number of heads ,’ i.e., the frequency with which a certain number of heads occurred: 0 time, 1 time, 2 times, 3 times, … etc., among your 12 trials. The histogram can be created with StatCrunch, Excel, or on the graphing paper provided on the next page. If using graphing paper, use 2 squares for each bar width. If using software, add additional sheets to insert graphs as needed.
Name: MATH 1308-088 Groupmates: _________________________________________________________________________
Name: MATH 1308-088 Groupmates: _________________________________________________________________________ Theoretical Analysis (Part 2) *Complete the table below, including all remaining theoretical probabilities. Enter the results from your group’s actual trials in the last two columns. ( Ex : the empirical probability of obtaining exactly 4 heads in 10 tosses is the proportion of your twelve trials that resulted in obtaining 4 heads.) No. of heads No. of combinations Probability of an individual outcome Theoretical Probability Frequency of trials with this No. of heads Empirical Probability of this No. of heads 0 10 ! 0 ! ( 10 0 ) ! = 1 1 2 1 × ( 1 2 ) 0 × ( 1 1 2 ) 10 = 0.001 1/16 0 1 10 ! 1 ! ( 10 1 ) ! = 10 1 2 10 × ( 1 2 ) 1 × ( 1 1 2 ) 9 = 0.01 1/10 .1 2 10 ! 2 ! ( 10 2 ) ! = 45 1 2 45 ( 1 2 ) 2 ( 1 1 2 ) 8 = 0.044 1/5 .2 3 10 ! 3 ! ( 10 3 ) ! = 120 1 2 120 ( 1 2 ) 3 ( 1 1 2 ) 7 = 0.117 3/10 .3 4 10 ! 4 ! ( 10 4 ) ! = 210 ½ 210 ( 1 2 ) 4 ( 1 1 2 ) 6 = ¿ .205 2/5 .4 5 10 ! 5 ! ( 10 5 ) ! = 252 ½ 252 ( 1 2 ) 5 ( 1 1 2 ) 5 = ¿ .246 1/2 .5 6 10 ! 6 ! ( 10 6 ) ! = ¿ 2 10 ½ 210 ( 1 2 ) 6 ( 1 1 2 ) 4 = .205 3/5 .6 7 10 ! 7 ! ( 10 7 ) ! = 120 ½ 120 ( 1 2 ) 7 ( 1 1 2 ) 3 = ¿ .117 7/10 .7 8 10 ! 8 ! ( 10 8 ) ! = ¿ 4 5 ½ 45 ( 1 2 ) 8 ( 1 1 2 ) 2 = ¿ .044 4/5 .8 9 10 ! 9 ! ( 10 9 ) ! = ¿ 1 0 ½ 10 ( 1 2 ) 9 ( 1 1 2 ) 1 = .0097 9/10 .9 10 10 ! 10 ! ( 10 10 ) ! = 1 ½ 1 ( 1 2 ) 10 ( 1 1 2 ) 0 = ¿ .00097 1/1 .10 *Hint: Use StatCrunch > Stat > Calculators > Binomial to quickly calculate the Theoretical Probabilities.
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Name: MATH 1308-088 Groupmates: _________________________________________________________________________ 1. (a) What are the theoretical probabilities of obtaining 0 heads, 1 head, 9 heads, and 10 heads? 1. (b) Are these probabilities considered usual/unusual, why/why not? 2. What were your group’s empirical probabilities of obtaining 0 heads, 1 head, 9 heads, and 10 heads? 3. Discuss the differences, if any, between the theoretical and your empirical probabilities. Do differences indicate that the coins were not fair coins? Explain.