ENVS 2270 03_29

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University of Guelph *

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2270

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Geography

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Oct 30, 2023

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6

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Review How might climate change impact ice wine production? - Narrows the time period in which it can be produced How might climate change impact transportation? - Extreme weather can destroy roads and flood underground systems How might climate change impact tourism? - Shorter seasons, more extreme temperatures What are the impacts of melting permafrost? - Buildings collapsing, roads collapsing Describe the two positive feedbacks associated with the melting cryosphere - Methane and GHGs are released, melting ice reveals layer beneath which could potentially absorb more heat leading to global warming Climate Change Risk IPCC Reasons for Concern (RFC) RFC1 - Risks to unique and threatened systems - Restricted geographic ranges; high endemism - Tropical glaciers systems, coral reefs, unique indigenous communities RFC2 - Risks associated with extreme weather events - Risk to human health, livelihoods, assets, and ecosystems from heat waves, heavy rain, drought, wildfires, coastal flooding RFC3 - Risks associated with distribution of impacts
- Impacts that disproportionately affect particular groups due to uneven distribution of hazards, exposure, or vulnerability - Geographic location, wealth, gender, age... RFC4 - Risks associated with global aggregate impacts - Impacts to socio-ecological systems that can be aggregated globally according to a single metric - Lives affected, monetary damage, number of species at risk of extinctions RFC5 - Risks associated with large-scale singular events - Larger-scale singular events (Tipping points) - Disintegration of Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets - Major regime shifts in ecosystems such as degradation of coral reef and Arctic systems Solutions to Climate Change Option 1: We can do nothing and wait and see what the future brings Option 2: We can adapt to the impacts of climate change Option 3: We can choose to mitigate climate change Adaptation vs Mitigation
Adaptation can reduce damage from impacts that cannot be avoided - Involves “adjustment” made by humans or ecosystems - Can sometimes increase GHG emissions (e.g. increasing air-conditioning) Mitigation strategies decrease the amount of climate change that occurs - Reduce climate change impacts - Generally by decreasing GHG emissions Adaptive Capacity Of what/to what? - Natural systems - ability of species to shift ranges - Humans systems - adaptive capacity of agriculture to increase drought Adaptation Examples
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50 Million Tree Program Ontario Ministry of Natural REsources program Part of United Nation Billion Trees Program (plant on billion trees every year) Ontario committed to plant 50 million trees by 2025 - Provide shade - Make corridors - Water conservation - “Store” carbon (also mitigation) Refugia Identify climatically stable geographical areas - Substantial adaptive capacity and ability to absorb the disturbances created by climate change due to immense scale, relative intactness, and still-functional ecosystems Protect those areas and areas that connect to it to ensure species survival Translocate species threatened by climate change into refugias Assisted Migration - Forestry Artificial reforestation common in forestry Trials in BC to allow seeds to be planted further North Most yield if species well adapted to the environment Examples of Adaptation in Human Systems Air conditioning Growing crops in greenhouses Coastal cities build higher walls to prevent flooding and storm surges Cool roofs (use lighter colours which retains less heat and reflects more heat) Green roofs (have vegetation on top of roofs) - Act as insulation (cooling and heating effect) - Reduce air pollution - Filter rainwater - Reduce stormwater run-off - Provide habitat Cool and Green Roofs also reduce energy consumption or mitigate climate change Adapting to Floods Store important documents above potential flood zones Have sandbags ready Re-locate hospitals, fire stations, power plants to areas without flooding risk Build new roads inland Floodplain Restoration Natural floodplains buffer floods Many projects to restore or create floodplains and wetlands
In addition, provide important habitat for species and clean and retain freshwater Coastal Erosion PEI very vulnerable to erosion and might eventually disappear Storm Surge Barrier Example: Netherlands Oosterscheldekering has been declared one of the seven modern wonders of the world Officially opened 1986 Manually operated but electronic backup system Dutch law regulates opening and closing - Water levels at least three meters above regular sea level Thames Barrier Operation since 1982 Each gate 20 meters high Prevents London from being flooded by high tides and storm surges moving up from the North Sea Heat Wave Adaptation Toronto Example - Recommendations for every residential building to have cooling centers - HARS (Harmonized Heat Alert and Response System) - Cooling centers throughout Toronto - Educate people to check on the vulnerable Agricultural Adaptation Strategies Adjustment of planting dates and crop varieties - The potential of Genetically Modified Crops Water Use Efficiency - Rainwater harvesting - Desalination
- Irrigation efficiency Better Forecast Methods Early Warning Systems
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