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Feb 20, 2024

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Consider the challenging issues of climate change and infectious disease, and answer these in your initial post: In what way do these challenges call for global solutions but at the same time run up against the principle of state sovereignty?  Challenges of these categories create compounding effects as they never disappear and in fact continue to increase until action is taken as some form of remedial measure. When referencing climate change, we not only begin to analyze the environmental effects which concurrently affect the Eastern and Western hemispheres alike, but their relationship on society. According to the CNA Military advisory board in 2007, climate change is considered a threat multiplier, stating that it addresses the potential for changing climate conditions to accelerate existing tensions and instability, leading to “multiple chronic conditions, occurring globally within the same time frame, and as the more intense, frequent shocks resulting from rising global temperatures interact with insecure social and political systems, existing fragilities can become increasingly destabilized. (CCS, 2020). When explaining “Shocks” we observe two distinct categories. Destabilizing physical shocks and aggravated social tensions. And unfortunately, as climate change begins affecting social systems, the inherent need for nations to call for assistance arise only to cause internal conflictions due to the belief of selfish gain from would be assistors. When considering risk to security for nations in crisis, the more fragile, brittle and disappearing states have a higher likelihood of collapse following climate shocks which in turn test organizations such as the U.N. security council or NATO to uphold their traditional notion of state sovereignty without the underlying illusion of self-interest (CCS, 2020). In your considered opinion and based on the various viewpoints you have read, what is the most likely longer-term impact of Covid-19?  In my opinion the long-term impact of COVID-19 does not necessarily relate to the actual virus itself, but more directly focused towards the transnational relationships and commitments, which govern trust, and understanding. There are nation states which understand that the implications of causes and effects are constantly occurring but at what underlying cost will they have to subject themselves to. As countries struggle due to issues such as infectious disease and climate change, especially after the recent pandemic, I feel that situations relating to complementary relationships should prosper such as those in Germany where by the creations of more automobiles assisted the offset as consumers purchased vehicles (Marin, D. 2020). By focusing economically, especially where monetary stability is vital during pandemic times, policymakers should focus on predictive measures if protectionism is a viable option. If not, focusing on relationship building. Whether that means building transnational relationships to better assist countries and in return reaping the benefit of a communal understanding that through joint cooperation, an exit strategy to misery does in fact exists. Or perhaps simply that the understanding that there will always be a more superior
organization, and that the organization will render assistance with subliminal intent, but better a solution with future obligations than none at all. Reference: Marin, D. (2020, 19 June). Covid-19’s impact on global supply chains will cause a recession like we’ve never seen before Links to an external site. World Economic Forum. Davos, Switzerland. The Center for Climate and Security. (2020, February). A security threat assessment of global climate change: How likely warming scenarios indicate a catastrophic security future Links to an external site. Washington, DC: The Center for Climate and Security, 6-23 Taylor, Viewing your post and reading your information based on Haiti, and how migration eventually led to thousands of people finding their way to the United States does impact the homeland, i.e., here, just as you mentioned. Because of the primary cause and effects, we can immediately begin to view the secondary and tertiary outcomes from those. The CCS covers very important information that I feel like you mentioned indirectly, which are the physical shocks to any civilization. Physical shocks, being those of food, water, and resource stress that will eventually lead to people’s behavioral changes and potentially abandoning their way of life. Abandoning their way of life and migration are the secondary and tertiary effects which ultimately affected the U.S. Extreme weather or climate change is really what would be the primary cause of every other issue. Depending on national and government response times are what could allow for success or failure in these instances, especially if response capabilities and funds are not deployed quickly, the likelihood of food and water insecurity, disease, immobility, and economic disturbance can build into prolonged situations of community breakdown and disaster, followed by potential political stress or conflict (CCS, 2020). Reference: The Center for Climate and Security. (2020, February). A security threat assessment of global climate change: How likely warming scenarios indicate a catastrophic security future Links to an external site. Washington, DC: The Center for Climate and Security, 6-23
Michael, Referencing your last sentence where you spoke of how most countries chose the path of self- preservation, that actually seems to be the path that most countries are directing their attention and seems to be heading for future occurrences. In Du n ford & Qi’s “Global reset”, finalizing their written work, they touch base on the conceptual prediction of the new world centralizing itself around an information technology base infrastructure dealing with artificial intelligence, cloud computing, cloud services, robots, 3D printing and space exploration, and as a result should expect economic interdependence (Du n ford & Qi, 2020). The pandemic has caused countries such as China to begin focusing inward. As we observe in today’s day and age, China has now been leading the world in many realms. Although political views may disagree with many of the actions and choices administered by China when dealing with economic and social views especially during the pandemic, if current inequalities in wealth and power are addressed, all governments can direct their attention to improving the livelihoods of all of their people rather than simply serving the interests of global elites (Du n ford & Qi, 2020). Reference: Du n ford, M. and Qi, B. (2020). Global reset: COVID-19, systemic rivalry and the global order . Links to an external site. Research in Globalization  2, 1-12.  
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