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Executive Summary
This executive summary evaluates the financial status of the two companies and an
analysis of the combined financial statement to offer an in-depth review of the combined
financial outcome of Microsoft's acquisition of Activision. This report undertakes an in-depth
evaluation of the financial position of both companies and the combined financial value
derived from both firms. The valuation focuses on analyzing the balance sheet inc, one
statement, and cash flow statements using financial ratios, discounted cash flow analysis, and
costs of capital determination. The essence of these analyses is to determine the book strength
of Microsoft in its acquisition strategy, the actual value of Activision to determine the
financial commitment necessary for the acquisition, and the balance sheet strength of the
combined business to provide an overview of the final financial strength of the combined
business. This analysis is also intended to evaluate various financing models available to
Microsoft and the costs of each, providing a recommendation of the most optimum and cost-
efficient option for the acquisition.
Mergers and acquisitions are an essential strategy in business growth, allowing the
expansion of business operations without the more protracted process of incorporating new
business or introducing a new product line. The importance of M&E has been in constant
growth, with over 30,000 transactions taking place in 2004 valued at over $1.9 trillion
(Kirkulak Uludag, 2013). However, these transactions have been typified by a higher failure
rate, with as many as 44% of M&E deals failing to achieve the expected objectives of the
acquiring entity and, by most accounts, leaving most managers in the target firms
experiencing acculturative stress leading to a majority of them departing within five years of
the acquisition (Kirkulak Uludag, 2013). The critical aspect of any acquisition undertaking is
expanding operations to benefit from integration and economies of scale, creating wealth for
the business owners. Most prior studies have shown that while the long-term benefits of
M&E are questionable, the short-term returns are overwhelmingly positive. This is primarily
through strategically targeting an organization whose financial and synergies are in line with
the acquiring firm, which requires an in-depth analysis of the financial, processes, and
organizational aspects of the firm to ensure that the deal reached is beneficial to the business
owners in both firms in the short- and long-run.
One of the most critical aspects of acquisition is the financial valuation, which forms
the basis for the subsequent offer price and gives a glimpse of the potential future cashflows
the acquiring firm may expect from their acquisition. Acquisition requires substantial cash
and stock overlay, which can affect the firm's financial standing post-acquisition (Kirkulak
Uludag, 2013). Valuation is the primary decision-making tool informing whether the
acquisition is worth it and whether the company will realize its investment while the target
company owners will attempt to optimize their return by valuing the company at the highest
possible price. A more objective approach must be taken where the agreed-upon value is
based on verifiable metrics.
Dashboard
Financial Performance.
Economic value added calculates – the estimated economic profit of a firm over and
above the required return of a company when its return on the economic capital
employed exceeds the cost of capital (Subedi & Farazmand, 2020). This analysis
evaluated the EVA of the two firms and the EVA of the combined firm in case of a
successful acquisition. For ache of the scenarios, ECA and total costs of capital are
expressed as: For Microsoft, EVA represents 92% of the total capital Invested while in
the case of Activision, EVA represents 66%. The combined EVA to Total cost of
capital is 4%. This means that it will take some time to align the synergy between the
two firms to realize the higher economic value of the investments in the long term.
P/E Valuation – With a stock price of $221 and an Earning per share of $9.29, the
Microsoft Price Earning ratio is 23.79. Activision, on the other hand, has a P/E ratio
of 30.11 points to potentially an over-valuation. The P/E ratio for the combined
business falls between the two ratios at 25.55.
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) – provides the blended cost of financing
across all sources employed by an enterprise. It represents the average rate at which a
company compensates its financing sources and is central in capital budgeting and
business valuation (Mellen & Evans, 2018). WACC is traditionally computed using
point estimates for each variable. Microsoft has a WACC of 8%, with Activision
having the cost of capital at 6%. The combined financials with a 50-50 proportion of
debt and Equity offers a WACC of 8%. This means the combined firm's return must
exceed the 8% cost of capital to be a justifiable investment.
Cost of Equity
The Capital Pricing Model (CAPM) provides an expected rate of return on assets and
investment, thus establishing a linear relationship between the expected rate of return on an
asset or an investment and the risk (Chen, 2021). It is essential in this case, considering that
an acquisition is one of the riskiest investment decisions a firm undertakes, with a substantial
number of acquisitions failing to attain their intended goals. In this case, the expected returns
for MSF, ITVI, and the combined financial are 8%,6%, and 8%, respectively. Microsoft's
expected return at 8% is at par with the market rate. However, Activision's rate is two
percentage points below the market rate, indicating a below Equity performance. The
combined business, however, posted an at-market rate return and, as such, is an excellent
investment to pursue.
Discounted Cashflow
DCF finds the present value of the projected future cash flows using a predetermined
discount rate, in this case, the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), to determine
whether the present value of these future cash flows is higher or lower than the value of the
initial investment (Copiello, 2016). Microsoft has a Net Present value of the future cash flows
at $331 billion, which is higher than the initial capital invested by $258 billion (331b – 72b)
and is thus a good investment. Conversely, Activision posted an NPV of $13.2 billion with an
initial capital of $ 3.8 billion, $9.4 billion higher returns. Finally, with a total capital invested
of $76.2 billion, the combined firm posted an NPV of $344.2 billion, a positive return of
$268 billion. The combined firm is a positive cash flow investment and can be considered a
good investment.
Ratio Analysis
As part of an in-depth analysis, ratios offer a sneak preview of the companies' books
by identifying and gleaning useful from the financial statement assessing Liquidity, growth,
margins, leverages, rate of return, and more
(Nadar & Wadhwa, 2019). Ratios offer a basis
on which comparisons can be made between firms and performance can be tracked. Ratio
analysis of the three firms found that:
Liquidity analysis - Activision has the highest Liquidity of the three scenarios with a
current ratio and quick ratio of 5.208, meaning that its current assets can cover its
current obligations five times over. Microsoft has current and quick ratios of 1.785
and 1.75, respectively. This indicates that the company can comfortably cover its
obligations with the current assets. The combined business has a current ratio of 1.869
and a quick ratio of 1.831, which is within the recommended range of 1.2 and 2.0 and
is, therefore, within the safe threshold.
Microsoft has a net working capital of +74.6 billion, Activision of +10.1 billion, and a
combined business of +84.4 billion.
Accounts receivables turnover – Microsoft has a ratio of 4.48, Activision has 9.06,
and Combined business has a ratio of 4.58, all of which are sufficiently high to
indicate efficiency in collecting debts. Activision has almost double the MSF ratio,
indicating a lower debt default and write-off rate.
Inventory turnover – All firms posted a high IT ratio, except Activision, which posted
zero inventory value in its balance sheet, possibly indicating that it cleared its
inventory stocks by the close of business.
Total Assets Turnover – in all three cases, the firms posted a TAT of 0.3 and 0.6, with
Activision posting the lowest ratio of 0.351 and the combined business posting the
highest ratio of 0.549. This means that Activision has the lowest efficiency in utilizing
assets to generate revenue, while the combination of the two increases the efficiency.
Debt to Equity ratio – the debt-to-equity ratio for the three firms are 0.435, 0.217, and
0.414 for Microsoft, Activision, and Combined, respectively, indicating that the
balance sheet is financed by 43% debt at Microsoft, 21.7% debt at Activision, and
41.4% at the Combined business.
Equity Multiplier – Microsoft, Activision, and Combined EM are 2.191 and 1.424,
respectively. In this case, Activision has the lowest financial leverage, with Microsoft
being more indebted, resulting in a combined ratio of 2.049.
Time Interest Earned – when it comes to the ability to pay its debt obligation, MSF
has a very high ratio of 40.4, while Activision has a ratio of 30.17, indicating that both
firms have a sufficiently strong ability to repay their debts. The combined ratio is
79.89.
Net Profit Margin – MSFT, profit represents 37% of revenue, 30% at Activision, and
36% of revenue of the combined business.
Return on Assets – of the two companies, Microsoft is most efficient at utilizing
assets to generate profit with a ratio of 0.2, with Activision posting a ratio of 0.11. The
combined business, therefore, has a relatively high ratio of 0.2.
Return on Equity – Activision has an ROE of 0.153, MSF of 0.437, and the combined
business offers a return of 0.41.
Book Value per Share – Generally, in all three scenarios, the BVPS stands at $22
Price to Book value – In all three cases, the stock trades at a premium with each PBV
of 9.91, 3,18, and 6.56 for Microsoft, Activision, and the combined business,
respectively.
Conclusion
The valuation shows that the acquisition is a sound financial investment as it
improves the strength of the combined firm's balance sheet, albeit at a small rate. Activision
has a low indebtedness, has a higher return on Equity, and offers a favorable price-to-book
ratio, improving the whole business's outlook. However, some notable shortfalls must be
reviewed in acquiring: the ability to pay debt obligation, a lower return on Equity, and a
lower economic value addition. However, these considerations are compensated by positive
metrics. Therefore, it is prudent to conclude that this acquisition is good for Microsoft and the
combined business.
References
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Chen, J. M. (2021). The Capital Asset Pricing Model.
Encyclopedia
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1
(3), 915–933.
https://doi.org/10.3390/encyclopedia1030070
Copiello, S. (2016). A Discounted Cash Flow variant to detect the optimal amount of additional
burdens in Public-Private Partnership transactions.
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3
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mex.2016.03.003
Kirkulak Uludag, B. (2013). Mergers and Acquisitions. In
Encyclopedia of Corporate Social
Responsibility
(pp. 1652–1658). Springer Berlin Heidelberg.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-28036-8_36
Mellen, C. M., & Evans, F. C. (2018). Weighted Average Cost of Capital. In
Valuation for M&A
(pp. 169–179). John Wiley & Sons, Inc. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119437413.ch9
Nadar, D. S., & Wadhwa, B. (2019). Theoretical Review of the Role of Financial Ratios.
SSRN
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Subedi, M., & Farazmand, A. (2020). Economic Value Added (EVA) for Performance
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