M3_Sea-level rise_Instructions

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Florida International University *

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2200

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Electrical Engineering

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Apr 3, 2024

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GEO4391 Module 3 Class Activity: Sea-level rise scenarios in South Florida Instructions In this activity, you are going to identify your home’s elevation, project South Florida’s sea-level rise from this year to 2100, and discuss some ways to mitigate or adapt to sea-level rise. 1. Go to the table in Page 2 of this document. Write down your name in Cell A. 2. Go to https://eyesontherise.org/app/ . Enter your home address and identify the elevation of your home (in feet). Put the number in Cell B. Then, go to the Surging Seas Risk Map and also enter your address in the box at the upper right corner. This will bring you to your neighborhood on the map. The scenario is currently set to 10 feet rise. Bring your mouse to the number 10 of the bar on the left side, hold it, and move it lower. That way, you can change the scenarios. Zoom in and out to identify the changes in bigger or smaller scales. This task is to help you imagine how vulnerable/resilient your current home is from sea level rise. 3. Now, how fast/slow do you think the sea level would rise in the next decades in South Florida, until 2100, and on what basis do you think? To answer this question, you will first have to study the course material as well as the “useful resources” in Page 3 of this document. You will find that there are a wide range of scenarios. Among them, which one(s) do you think are more reasonable than others and why do you think so? Refer to the sources you have consulted in your answer. You may also use other reputable sources online. Based on the references you have used, make your own assumptions and fill out the Cell C. In case you are not familiar with the metric system, here are some useful conversions: * 1 mm = 0.039 inch / 1 inch = 25.4 mm * 1 meter = 0.33 feet / 1 foot = 0.30 meter I believe that in the next few decades in South Florida, the sea level will continue increase on a faster pace. This is supported in the first “useful resource” named sealevelrise.org. They predict that if we continue our current path, then by 2050 the sea level will rise by 15 inches. This would be catastrophic for the communities in South Florida and could lead to several severe issues such as flooding. I believe that this source is one that is reasonable as with the way that humanity is going, there is not enough being done to prevent these sea levels from rising. 4. As the sea levels rise, what changes do you think we would see in our everyday life, economy, culture, etc.? For example, what would happen to our roads, houses, and water management? How would our daily lives be affected by those changes (e.g., commuting, raising kids, and going to hospitals)? Again, study the course material as well as other sources as needed. After reviewing them, provide a future scenario you think most reasonable in descriptive terms/narratives in Cells D & E. Note that I divided the time between now and 2100 into two periods (future scenario I: between now and 2060 & II: between 2060-2100). In our everyday life, there would be numerous changes that we would have to adapt to. For example, if the sea levels rise, then there could be immense damage to infrastructure 1

and buildings, which would effect how well the economy of South Florida is as these issues would need to be fixed. 5. Explain how you came up with the scenario in Cell F. In other words, refer to the sources you have consulted in the format of (Author, Year) and explain why/how you used them as the evidence. If no author or year is identified, you may use the format of (Title: Hyperlink). 6. What do you think we should do to mitigate (minimize the impacts of) or adapt to (adjust to the new changes associated with) the sea-level rise? Based on the readings, the lecture video, and your own creative ideas, suggest ways to deal with sea-level rise. Write them down in Cell G. 7. Copy and paste the table and put it in the Discussion Forum Module 3 class activity: Sea- level rise in South Florida. 8. You are done! 2

Your name South Florida's sea-level rise projections (2022-2100) Year inches (cumulative) Future scenarios (What will happen between 2024-2060 & between 2060-2100?) On what basis or reference did you make such projections? Ways to mitigate or adapt to sea-level rise in South Florida? Matthew Camacho 2024 0 Default: 2022 = 0 2030 5.18 If we continue this current path, by 2040, there will not be much completely dry land left. There will be others forms of transportation to accommodate the changes in the environment, like how in Venice, they travel by boat everywhere. Schools will most likely have adapted with anti- flood protocols to ensure the safety of the community and continue to be resilient. I came up with this scenario by looking at the projected forecast of the sea level and thought about how that would affect South Florida. As a city that is already below sea level, I determined that most of the city would be underwater if the sea level continues to rise at this fast pace. In addition, I added realistic elements such as the fact that schools would find a way to adapt to these changes in the environment with advanced flood procedures and infrastructure. I also considered the advances in technology that would occur from now to 2100, as these advances would help the city adapt to the rising sea levels in a more efficient manner. To mitigate or adapt to the sea-level rise in South Florida I believe we would have to do many things, such as getting together as a local community and creating a plan for the future. Investing in infrastructure is something that would prepare the area in the future. The education of the community is also very important, so they can be informed and understand that they can also find ways to help. Research is also very important because it would help us predict how quickly these changes need to occur. When the combination of these is implemented, we can reduce the rising sea levels and mitigate the damage to South Florida in the future. 2040 9.95 Your home's elevation 2050 15.60 2060 17.71 7.63 2070 19.69 From 2060-2100, the land has mostly been taken over by the ocean due to the receding coastlines allowing for it. In addition, there will most likely be changes like having elevated walkways to protect the citizens from the ocean under. Furthermore, as stated earlier, schools will most likely have created safe ways to protect the schools from flooding such as through building barriers to keep the buildings dry. 2080 24.41 2090 27.55 2100 31.49 3

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Useful Resources SeaLevelRise.org: Florida Climate Central's Surging Seas Initiative 100 Resilient Cities Initiative Surging Seas Risk Finder: Miami-Dade PBS documentary_Managing risk in a changing climate A. Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change’s Global Mean Sea-level Rise Projections B. Miami-Dade County’s Sea-level Rise Projections 4