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PERSPECTIVE
OPEN
Towards sustainable human space exploration
—
priorities for
radiation research to quantify and mitigate radiation risks
Anna Fogtman
1
, Sarah Baatout
2
, Bjorn Baselet
2
, Thomas Berger
3
, Christine E. Hellweg
3
, Piers Jiggens
4
, Chiara La Tessa
5,6
,
Livio Narici
7,8
, Petteri Nieminen
4
, Laure Sabatier
9
, Giovanni Santin
4
, Uwe Schneider
10
, Ulrich Straube
11
, Kevin Tabury
2
,
Walter Tinganelli
12
, Linda Walsh
13
and Marco Durante
12,14,15
✉
Human space
fl
ight is entering a new era of sustainable human space exploration. By 2030 humans will regularly
fl
y to the Moon
’
s
orbit, return to the Moon
’
s surface and preparations for crewed Mars missions will intensify. In planning these undertakings, several
challenges will need to be addressed in order to ensure the safety of astronauts during their space travels. One of the important
challenges to overcome, that could be a major showstopper of the space endeavor, is the exposure to the space radiation
environment. There is an urgent need for quantifying, managing and limiting the detrimental health risks and electronics damage
induced by space radiation exposure. Such risks raise key priority topics for space research programs. Risk limitation involves
obtaining a better understanding of space weather phenomena and the complex radiation environment in space
fl
ight, as well as
developing and applying accurate dosimetric instruments, understanding related short- and long-term health risks, and strategies
for effective countermeasures to minimize both exposure to space radiation and the remaining effects post exposure. The ESA/
SciSpacE Space Radiation White Paper identi
fi
es those topics and underlines priorities for future research and development, to
enable safe human and robotic exploration of space beyond Low Earth Orbit.
npj Microgravity
(2023)9:8 ; https://doi.org/10.1038/s41526-023-00262-7
INTRODUCTION
International
space
agencies
are
entering
a
new
phase
of
sustainable human and robotic exploration of space Beyond
Low Earth Orbit (BLEO). Recent advances in construction of the
Moon-orbiting
Gateway
station
bring
those
plans
closer
to
realization,
with
new
scienti
fi
c,
engineering,
and
operational
challenges ahead. In comparison with the current mission pro
fi
les
to the International Space Station (ISS), the
fi
rst set of missions to
the Gateway and Moon surface will be shorter (30
–
90 days), there
will be less habitable space (~10 fold) for astronauts, smaller
payloads, a slight delay in communication and no possibility of a
quick emergency return to Earth. Such conditions will form the
basis of sustainable human presence in deep space, involving
months to years of exposure to space hazards.
The complexity of the radiation environment in deep space
adds complexity to the overall risk assessment for human BLEO
space
fl
ight, and the recently published Radiation White Paper
1
by
the European Space Agency (ESA) assesses such challenges. The
radiation environment in deep space differs substantially from the
conditions in Low Earth Orbit (LEO), where astronauts are
—
at
least partly
—
shielded from the complex spectrum of particles and
energies by Earth
’
s magnetosphere. In deep space, astronauts will
be exposed to Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCR) composed of protons,
helium ions and rarer but highly energetic (up to and exceeding
100 GeV per nucleon) heavier nuclei
2
. Astronauts may also be
exposed
to
sporadic
radiation
storms
originating
from
solar
eruptions with particle energies at energies <1 GeV/n, known as
Solar Particle Events (SPEs), which can result in considerable dose
accumulation in case of insuf
fi
cient shielding. These particles will
interact
with
spacecraft
shielding,
payload,
space
suits,
and
planetary or Moon regolith, to create a cascade of secondary
particles,
where
neutrons
may
also
play
a
signi
fi
cant
role,
especially
for
thick
shielding
and
surface
habitat
scenarios.
Ionizing radiation (IR) in deep space can be a single limiting
factor to human space exploration. To
fl
y safely, space agencies
need to be able to assess the radiation space environment, reduce
the exposure, predict the health risks and mitigate the negative
effects
of
exposure
to
IR.
Gaining
those
capabilities
is
an
interdisciplinary endeavor, involving space weather assessment
and
predictions,
shielding,
dosimetry,
radiobiology,
radiation
epidemiology, risk assessments, and space medicine.
RADIATION MEASUREMENTS AND SIMULATIONS
Understanding space radiation risk for humans requires a precise
knowledge of the radiation
fi
eld in space, the possibility to
calculate
the
radiation
exposure
in
different
scenarios,
and
appropriate models to assess the relevant risks. For BLEO missions,
GCR and SPEs (Fig.
1
) will provide a more severe radiation
environment compared to the more protected missions onboard
the ISS.
1
Space Applications Services for ESA - European Space Agency, Space Medicine Team and SciSpacE, HRE-RS, European Astronaut Centre (EAC), Linder Höhe, D-51147 Cologne,
Germany.
2
Radiobiology Unit, Belgian Nuclear Research Centre, SCK CEN, Mol, Belgium.
3
DLR, German Aerospace Center, Institute of Aerospace Medicine, Linder Höhe, 51147
Cologne, Germany.
4
European Space Research and Technology Centre (ESTEC), Space Environment and Effects Section (TEC-EPS), Keplerlaan 1, 2201 Noordwijk, The Netherlands.
5
Department of Physics, University of Trento, Trento, Italy.
6
TIFPA, INFN, Trento, Italy.
7
Department of Physics, University of Rome Tor Vergata, 00133 Rome, Italy.
8
INFN
–
Section
Roma2, Rome, Italy.
9
CEA/DRF/DIREI French Alternative Energies and Atomic Energy Commission (CEA), Paris-Saclay University, Gif sur Yvette Cedex, France.
10
Radiotherapy
Hirslanden, Witellikerstrasse 40, 8032 Zurich, Switzerland.
11
Medical Operations and Space Medicine, HRE-OM, European Space Agency, ESA, European Astronaut Centre,
EAC, Cologne, Germany.
12
Biophysics Department, GSI Helmholtzzentrum für Schwerionenforschung GmbH, Darmstadt, Germany.
13
Department of Physics, Science Faculty,
University of Zürich, Winterthurerstrasse 190, 8057 Zurich, Switzerland.
14
Technische Universität Darmstadt, Institute for Condensed Matter Physics, Darmstadt, Germany.
15
Universita
‘
Federico II, Dipartimento di Fisica
“
Ettore Pancini
”
, Naples, Italy.
✉
email: m.durante@gsi.de
www.nature.com/npjmgrav
Published in cooperation with the Biodesign Institute at Arizona State University, with the support of NASA
1234567890():,;
The relevant questions to be answered would therefore fall into
the following categories.
1.
Radiation environment measurement
For mission planning and design, the radiation environ-
ment
must
be
speci
fi
ed
to
ensure
that
humans
and
electronics will be able to withstand the environment being
protected by the shielding provided by the spacecraft/
habitat. This requires the use of newly developed instru-
mentation, capable of providing the relevant information
and also the analysis of data from existing detector systems,
as on the surface of the Moon
3
or on other locations
4
,
5
, to
intercompare and intercalibrate the new devices data.
2.
Dosimetry and radiation risk estimation
Personal dosimetry
6
should be regarded as separate from
the radiation environment measurements being directly
related
to
the
operational
radiation
protection
of
the
astronauts ful
fi
lling the requirements given by the space
agencies. For exploration missions a paradigm change has
to be implemented in providing actively powered radiation
detectors for the crew, which not only enable
“
real time
dose readings
”
but could also provide required physical
parameters
for
risk
estimation.
Individual
biodosimetry
7
needs to be implemented and compared with the results of
radiation detectors in order to contribute to risk estimate.
Indeed, the biological dosimetry of astronauts from the
same space mission can differ according to their own
individual radiosensitivity and their own activities during the
mission (EVAs, location in the station during SPEs,
…
).
3.
Radiation propagation tools and models
Radiation propagation tools provide signi
fi
cant calculated
radiation data for a speci
fi
c planned mission scenario and
can be benchmarked with data from sensors measuring
relevant parameters in new environments
8
. GCR and SPE
models also demand a detailed benchmarking against each
other and against measurements. In addition, transport
codes, based on Monte Carlo (GEANT4, FLUKA, PHITS) or on
deterministic (HZETRN) codes need further developments
including updates for missing data in nuclear cross section
measurements
9
.
4.
Radiation storm forecasting.
SPEs are a manifestation of space weather
10
giving rise to
drastically enhanced radiation levels in a short time. Forecasting
SPEs is very important for BLEO operations for ef
fi
cient planning
and use of countermeasures complying with the ALARA principle
for astronaut protection. SPE forecasting utilizes knowledge of
solar physics and particle radiation dynamics either explicitly by
radiation
transport
in
the
case
of
physics-based
models
or
implicitly in the case of analytical models
11
. Forecasting can be
triggered
by
solar
observations
or
by
in-situ
measurements
outside
the
human
habitat
(vessel,
base)
of
SPE
precursor
radiation
(now-casting).
Presently,
forecasting
from
physics-
based models lacks the accuracy needed for human protection.
Now-casting, based on precursor measurements combined with
studies of previous SPEs, are essential for effective warnings
12
.
Development priorities include a system to exploit forecast
methods and accurate measurements of the external
fi
eld for
now-casting and data assimilative forecasts. Eventually, forecasts
based on solar physics and particle transport models will provide
improved performance.
RADIATION RISKS
During deep space exploration, astronauts experience a chronic,
low-dose-rate whole-body exposure to GCR (Fig.
2
), which can
accrue to ~1 Sv during a 1000-day Mars mission
13
–
15
. Due to the
physical properties of the particle radiation and the heavy ion
component of the exposure, high doses can be reached at a
microscopic level, resulting in complex, dif
fi
cult to repair DNA
damages. Unrepaired or misrepaired DNA lesions are responsible
for cell death and mutations and eventually late effects such as
cancer
16
or
normal
tissue
degenerative
processes
including
cardiovascular
disease
17
or
central
nervous
system
(CNS)
damage
18
.
Increased
cancer
risk
is
the
endpoint
generally
considered in assessing the lifetime exposure limits in LEO
19
,
20
.
The attempts to understand the space radiation-induced cancer
risk encompass multiple levels:
1.
Cancer mortality studies among astronauts: The cohort is
small, and the current studies cover mostly short missions in
LEO and the Apollo missions. The long latency periods, low
statistics, and low doses preclude currently the assessment
of the effect of the ISS missions of ~ half a year duration.
Furthermore, a strong healthy worker effect
21
was observed
in
the
NASA
Longitudinal
Study
of
Astronaut
Health,
masking possible radiation-induced cancer risks
22
. In fact,
even if there is an apparent increase in melanoma and
prostate cancer, this is likely to result from increased cancer
screening.
Fig. 1
Energy spectrum of space radiation. a
The galactic cosmic radiation spectrum in free space for solar maximum (dashed line) and solar
minimum (solid line) conditions as calculated with the DLR GCR Model
47
for four different ions. Figure from the DLR image database
b
The
solar energetic particle radiation
fl
uence environment in free space for rare
“
extreme
”
events as calculated with the SAPPHIRE Model
48
. The
model shows that more intense and energetic events are more seldom (the lines correspond to events occurring with a mean frequency of 1-
in-N years). Figure produced by ESA-ESTEC using the SAPPHIRE-network of models server.
A. Fogtman et al.
2
npj Microgravity (2023) 8
Published in cooperation with the Biodesign Institute at Arizona State University, with the support of NASA
1234567890():,;
2.
Exposure
of
animals
(wildtype
and
genetically
altered
rodent models, mostly mice) to space-relevant radiation
qualities experiments and follow-up of cancer induction,
and mechanistic studies at molecular, cellular, tissue, organ,
or organismal level. The relative biological effectiveness
(RBE) for cancer induction by a speci
fi
c GCR component,
e.g., iron or silicon ions, can be the result of such studies.
Such RBE values are helpful to extrapolate cancer risk from
larger
radiation-exposed
populations
(the
atomic
bomb
survivors are the most prominent example) which experi-
enced acute radiation exposure (mostly
γ
-rays, also neu-
trons) to GCR-exposed astronauts. Rather than studying
single ions it is now possible to simulate the full GCR
spectrum on Earth both in USA
23
and European
24
accel-
erators and this will pave the way to realistic RBE estimation
of the full GCR. In addition, experiments to quantify the
effect of low dose rates as expected for GCR-exposure
compared to the high-dose rate exposure by the atomic
bombs are performed to determine the dose-rate reduction
factor, but these experiments are almost impossible at
particle accelerators as they would require long exposure
times. The uncertainties of cancer risk assessment are still
unacceptably high
25
.
3.
Space
fl
ight experiments using different biological models
help to clarify the role of other space environmental factors
such as microgravity in the modulation of GCR-induced
cancer risk.
A cell hit by an energetic particle experiences DNA damage that
might be mis- or unrepaired as well as induce changes in gene
expression depending on the dose and the linear energy transfer
of the heavy ions
26
. These changes can be perpetuated by
epigenetic alterations, high oxidative stress levels
27
and senes-
cence. Damage can be transmitted in the progeny of irradiated
cells
and
chromosomal
instability
can
occur
28
.
These
might
contribute to carcinogenesis and could be the basis for late
degenerative processes in several organs. Currently, CNS, eye lens,
lung, cardiovascular, digestive, endocrine and immune systems,
and the reproductive organs are considered to be at risk for space
radiation-induced degenerative processes. Calculations suggest
that for a three-year mission to Mars at a solar minimum, 2
–
13% of
the
“
critical sites
”
of cells in the CNS would be directly hit at least
once by iron ions, and roughly 20 million out of 43 million
hippocampal cells and 230,000 out of 1.8 million thalamus cell
nuclei would be directly hit by one or more particles with Z > 15
on such a mission
29
—
in combination with the extremely low
regenerative potential of the brain, this is a reason for concern.
Also, earlier or more frequent cataract formation was observed in
astronauts on higher inclination LEO missions
30
. The RBEs of heavy
ions for these endpoints are scarcely known. Further accelerator-
based studies are required to include the risk of degenerative
diseases in the space radiation risk assessment.
In case of a large, unpredicted SPEs and a low shielding
situation (e.g., during an EVA), astronauts can experience an acute
whole-body exposure to energetic protons and accumulate high
skin doses and effective doses of ~2 Gy within several hours or
days. In this dose range, acute radiation syndrome with the
hematopoietic system as main target can be expected
31
. Such
exposures have to be prevented by the space weather forecast,
nowcast,
active
dosimetry,
and
appropriate
shielding.
SPEs,
therefore, mainly represent an operational medical problem, but
can contribute to the late health risk if shielding does not reduce
the accumulated dose to a negligible level.
RISK ESTIMATIONS
The above-mentioned health risks need to be understood and
assessed, in order to predict the frequency and latency of the late
effects. The development of ESA radiation risk models, to better
characterize the mission radiation risks to astronauts, was recently
recommended in a paper on research plans in Europe for radiation
hazard assessments in space
19
. In line with this recommendation
and the radiation protection initiative for astronauts at the ESA-
Astronaut Centre, the
fi
rst stage of a space radiation risk module
for
Astronaut
’
s
health
risk
assessment
was
developed
and
veri
fi
ed
32
. This risk module built on previous work
33
,
34
was based
on radiation-related health risk assessment for the detrimental
health effect outcomes of incidence of all solid cancer, leukemia,
lung and female breast cancer from estimated radiation exposures
accumulated during long term missions to the Moon or Mars. An
alternative approach based on the quantity called Radiation
Attributed Decrease of Survival (RADS)
35
was proposed. RADS
represents the cumulative decrease in the unknown survival curve
at a certain attained age, due to the radiation exposure at an
earlier age.
Fig. 2
Radiation exposure during space missions beyond low Earth orbit and health effects of space radiation.
Illustration created with
BioRender.com for this paper.
A. Fogtman et al.
3
Published in cooperation with the Biodesign Institute at Arizona State University, with the support of NASA
npj Microgravity (2023) 8
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Applying this approach, a 1000-day Mars exploration mission
with a hypothetical effective dose of ~1 Sv received at a typical
astronaut
age
of
40
years
old,
was
found
to
result
in
the
probability of surviving free of all types of solid cancer and
leukemia until retirement age (65 years) being reduced by 4.2%
(95%CI: 3.2; 5.3) for males and 5.8% (95%CI: 4.8; 7.0) for females
32
.
Recommendations in a recent National Academies of Sciences,
Engineering, and Medicine report
36
connected with communicat-
ing a comprehensive picture of an individual astronaut
’
s cancer
risks due to radiation exposure and examining the application of
risk metrics other than risk of exposure-induced death are fully in
line with the new ESA approach. Furthermore, the ESA module has
a more comprehensive uncertainty assessment than the current
NASA Space Cancer Risk Model (NSCR). In the NSCR, the
“
tissue
speci
fi
c statistical error
”
represents subjectively chosen uncertain-
ties only in the central estimate of the sex-speci
fi
c main radiation
risk to dose response, i.e., excess risk per Sv,
β
. Uncertainties
associated with attained age and age at exposure risk effect
modi
fi
ers of
β
are not explicitly accounted for
20
. In contrast, the
ESA module fully accounts for the published uncertainties in
β
and
the uncertainties on the attained age and age at exposure risk
effect modi
fi
ers via Monte-Carlo simulation, considering all the
correlations between these quantities (see e.g.,
34
,
36
).
Further work which builds on and extends this form of risk
assessment approach is currently underway at ESA to examine the
feasibility
of
eventually
including
non-cancer
effects
and
to
include organ doses from detailed astronaut space dosimetry.
Those
risk
estimates
are
modi
fi
ed
by
mitigation
strategies
including both, physical and biological countermeasures.
RISK MITIGATION: PHYSICS
As the risk is directly related to the dose, a mitigation strategy has
to be developed to decrease it to an acceptable level. The dose
depends on the mission scenario, namely the type of radiation
fi
eld to which the astronauts are exposed to, as well as on the
duration, and therefore it can span over a wide range of values.
For example, the average dose received by astronauts inside the
ISS is around 0.5
–
1 mSv/day
37
, while for the Mars mission the RAD
instrument (onboard the unmanned MSL
“
Curiosity
”
) measured in
free space an averaged GCR dose equivalent rate of 1.84 mSv/
day
14
, and the equivalent estimate for the Martian surface is
0.64 mSv/day.
Based
on
these
dose
rates,
which
are
mainly
delivered by GCR and can be further increased by potential SPEs,
the current estimates for a full Mars mission are critically high,
exceeding most space agency limits that are set at 0.6
–
1 Sv
38
.
Physics-based mitigation methods aim at decreasing the dose
by acting on the incoming radiation
fi
eld in two different ways: i)
active shielding de
fl
ecting particles with magnetic or electrostatic
fi
elds, and ii) passive shielding, exploiting nuclear and electro-
magnetic
interactions
between
the
incoming
radiation
and
materials
39
. While active shielding is promising and still an active
fi
eld of research, it is in a very preliminary phase
40
, and it is unclear
whether
a
realistic
active
solution
could
provide
adequate
protection against the high-energy GCR component of the space
radiation
fi
eld. As a result, today the only countermeasure applied
in
space
radioprotection
is
passive
shielding
and
limiting
permissible mission duration. Although it would be ideal to
employ a shield that completely stops all external radiation, this
cannot be achieved because of the mass load constraints of
spacecraft
designs.
For
this
reason,
the
approach
of
space
shielding is based on decreasing the dose by modifying the
radiation
fi
eld composition via nuclear fragmentation, namely by
breaking ions into particles of lower charge and similar velocity,
while still avoiding dose enhancements from the resulting mixed
fi
eld of secondary particles.
Over the years, this method has experienced a paradigm-shift,
evolving from dedicated shields added to the spacecraft, to the
concept of designing the actual spacecraft with multifunctional
elements, optimized both for their primary use and for their
shielding effectiveness. On Moon and planetary surface habitats,
this method can also be complemented by use of local in-situ
resource utilization, by placing the structures underneath thick
layers of regolith.
Dedicated shielding materials can also be added to the structure
to further decrease the environment dose, and their design is
optimized depending on the mission scenario. In this framework,
ESA has been supporting theoretical and experimental studies on
space radiation shielding (ROSSINI)
41
, aiming at dose reduction
through optimization of structure con
fi
guration and research into
innovative materials. These studies identi
fi
ed lithium hydride (LiH)
compounds as a promising alternative to polyethylene, which is
currently used on the ISS as radiation shielding
42
.
RISK MITIGATION: BIOLOGY
From an evolutionary perspective there seems to be no trait that
enabled eukaryotic organisms to survive IR doses in the range to
which several extremophiles are capable of surviving. However,
ancestors of the modern human all evolved in an environment
consisting of a persistent low level of different mutagenic agents.
As a consequence, we have many inherent cellular mechanisms to
counteract DNA damage and oxidative stress. Yet, when humans
travel into space, these naturally evolved cellular mechanisms are
not
enough
as
morbidities
resulting
from
space
radiation
exposure
have
been
identi
fi
ed
(e.g.,
cataract
and
immune
dysfunction). In order to support future deep space exploration
missions, possible interventions can be conceived that can limit
the effects of space radiation on the human body and as a result
can reduce the health risk in humans when exposed to space.
So far, six principal interventions have been proposed to reduce
the health risk from space radiation exposure (Fig.
3
).
One way of reducing the health risk from space radiation
exposure in humans is selecting for more radioresistant humans
during the selection campaigns of space agencies. It is in fact
known that susceptibility to radiogenic late effects presents a
Fig. 3
Principles of interventions to reduce health risk from space
radiation exposure (clockwise from lower left).
Selection cam-
paigns
—
genome-wide association studies
—
radioprotective phar-
maceuticals
—
hibernation (synthetic torpor)
49
—
food supplements
—
genome
editing.
Illustration
created
by
the
authors
for
this
manuscript.
A. Fogtman et al.
4
npj Microgravity (2023) 8
Published in cooperation with the Biodesign Institute at Arizona State University, with the support of NASA
wide inter-individual variability and this also applies to space
radiation exposure
43
. The simplest approach is to perform ex vivo
assays, in which cells collected from the candidates are exposed to
a
fi
xed IR dose
44
. In addition, genome-wide association studies to
determine
the
single
nucleotide
polymorphism
(SNP)
and
epigenetic pro
fi
les of radioresistant individuals could also be
used. Before practical applications, however, it will be necessary to
establish a link between genetic pro
fi
les and cancer (or other late
effects) susceptibility. Whilst capabilities to identify SNPs corre-
lated to speci
fi
c normal tissue toxicities after radiotherapy have
been signi
fi
cantly advanced
45
, a lot of progress has to be done
concerning radiogenic cancers and very late effects. Another
strategy
is
to
pharmacologically
hamper
with
the
processes
underlying
the
molecular
(side)
effects
of
space
radiation
exposure. Examples are the application of radioprotectors and
geroprotectors, as well as supplementation with antioxidants or
anti-oxidative
capacity
increasing
compounds.
While
these
pharmaceuticals hold great promise, many of them are still under
investigation and not allowed to be used on humans.
Food supplements (such as vitamin A, C, D, omega, selenium,
antioxidants (polyphenols)) to boost the immune system, have an
anti-ageing effect, and reduce oxidative stress is another strategy.
Finally, through the avenues of gene editing, modi
fi
cation of the
human genome becomes a possibility, especially CRISPR-based
tools to modify gene expression without modifying the DNA
sequence
46
. Promising strategies are the inducible expression of
endogenous antioxidants, DNA repair genes or radioprotective
transgenes resulting in controlled reduction in early and late-stage
irradiation damage
44
. Ethically, these genetic modi
fi
cations remain
under debate. Altogether, mitigation risks for future deep space
exploration missions are currently under investigation as they
appear to bring promising solutions.
OUTLOOK AND SUMMARY
Future deep space exploration involving long and sustainable
human presence in space requires a state-of-the-art approach to
protect astronauts from the detrimental effects of the space
radiation environment. It is a priority to build a robust, reliable,
and comprehensive system for astronaut radiation protection. The
Space Radiation white paper identi
fi
es key topics to guide ESA/
SciSpacE
research
programmes
and
in
consequence
—
build
European expertise to help bring ESA and international astronauts
safely to the Moon and Mars. These space challenges are also of
paramount concern for humans on Earth, as IR is a risk factor in
many sectors, including public health and energy. Therefore, a
multidisciplinary approach needs to be taken to address those
challenges to further advance capabilities:
1.
Understanding the space radiation environment outside
and inside spacecraft, landers and habitats with the use of
appropriate instruments capturing the IR spectrum in space
most important for protection of humans and electronics,
and models of interaction of IR with physical matter.
2.
Predicting the space weather with the use of forecasting
models and accurate measurements of the space radiation
environment and observations of the Sun.
3.
Understanding the health effects of long-term exposure to
low dose rates of complex-spectrum of IR, by studying
scarce astronaut cohorts, as well as space
fl
ight and particle
accelerator-based studies on animals and cell cultures with
space-relevant radiation qualities of IR.
4.
Accurately predicting health risks from exposure, with the
use of mathematical models based on epidemiological and
experimental data at accelerators.
5.
Mitigating
the
health
risks
with
utilization
of
shielding
approaches effective for GCR and SPEs, as well as assessment
of individual susceptibility to IR and use of biological and
pharmacological countermeasures.
As often noted previously, insuf
fi
cient knowledge on biological
mechanisms and effects, especially those related to how and to
what extent very heavy ions interact with and damage human
tissue, account for the largest fraction of uncertainty in IR related
health risk assessment. These challenges must be addressed by
European
and
international
space
programmes,
with
close
collaboration between applied sciences and medical operations,
to enable faster and affordable certi
fi
cation processes of devel-
oped hardware and medications. Signi
fi
cant budgets will have to
be dedicated to space radiation research enabling exploration,
and agencies will need to increase the visibility of their space
radiation programmes to draw new talents and innovative ideas
to this critical problem for space exploration. Tackling the above
points is crucial to enable a safe and sustainable human presence
in deep space.
Received: 5 August 2022; Accepted: 20 January 2023;
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Authors acknowledge the European Space Agency (ESA), ESA/BELSPO and ESA-IBER
for their support. B.B. is supported by ESA/BELSPO/Prodex, IMPULSE contract CO-90-
11-2801-04.
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
T.B., P.J., C.LT., L.N., P.N., and G.S. wrote the sections on physics. A.F., S.B., B.B., C.E.H.,
L.S., K.T., W.T., and M.D. wrote the section on biology. U.Sc., U.St. and L.W. wrote the
section on risk modeling. A.F. and M.D. prepared the
fi
rst skeleton and edited the text
from different authors.
COMPETING INTERESTS
The authors declare no competing interests.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
Correspondence
and requests for materials should be addressed to Marco Durante.
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and
permission
information
is
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at
http://www.nature.com/
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’
s note
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6
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